GuiTheKnight

ETHUSD : The pursuit of happiness

Long
GuiTheKnight Updated   
BITFINEX:ETHUSD   Ethereum
Hello Guys,

Recently the ETHUSD sold off until $900. However the etherium could be at his cheapest price MoM. Here is why.

1) Market Analysis
The smart-contract is one of the most important innovation in the crypto-world. The number of start-up using ETH contracts is increasing exponentially.
Jannuary and February upcoming ICOs are mostly using ETHUSD to fund their projects despite others crypto-currencies.
That should help the upcoming come back in the ETHUSD price.

2) Technical Analysis
The MACD HoH is still in the bearish zone as the RSI HoH.
The technical analysis is actually bearish but the next reversal should come faster than a lot of here think.

3) Futures Analysis
The CME Bitcoin Futures curve is in contango with $10,500 for the March 2018 contract. (BTCUSD Spot $10,250)
The correlation MoM between BTCUSD and ETHUSD is relatively fair at 65%.
We are reasonnably bullish for Mar18.

4) Principal Component Analysis
The bookorder presents a lot of buying pression close to $900 that will be a hard resistance to break.
With a 1.7 buyer for 1 seller at this point the bears should resign and let the bulls come back for the end of the week.
Finally I think ETHUSD could come back above $1,150 this week easily and may be above the 1,250$.

Wait and see.
Trade active:
Long at $946.52
Trade closed: target reached:
That was the right move.
We close the position at $1,059.
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