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Ronin_trader
Apr 18, 2024 1:24 PM

ETHUSD SHORT - Apr 24 (☔ Reverse Trapping Lighting v1) Short

EtherOANDA

Description

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This pattern is a Grade C
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Decided to relook the strategy and redo the strategy validation by run a manual backtest from 15 March to 18 April where the regime changes from bullish to a bearish range on the D1 chart.

I am aware that once the regime changes and need to revert back to the original Long strategy

New Observation
The pull backs still happen but they rise and stall into a range before falling. Because of the nature of the range there are opportunities for us to take tight stops to limit risk and still have clear TP at the next S/R lines

Entry
  • Step 0: Identify Regime - Is the D1 still below the 20 SMA
  • Step 1: Identify Period of indecisiveness
  • Step 2: Bullish price shoot up
  • Step 3: Mark Limit entry and SL
  • - Go trade: Risk Reward ratio no lower than 2
  • - Bad trade: Risk Reward ratio <2


Depending on patterns I will adjust the bet size accordingly
  • Grade A - 100% Bet, 9.5 units - $500
  • Grade B - 50% Bet, 4.75 units - $250
  • Grade C - 25% Bet, 2.3 units - $121



  • Backtest performance: 15 Mar - 18 Apr 2024, 1 Hour candle
  • Average 1 Trade per week
  • Total Trades: 5
  • Lose: 1
  • Win: 4
  • Total Profit: 6,709.90
  • Profit Factor: 38.27
  • Deepest Drawdown: -2.32%
  • Highest Run-up: 11.59%
  • Average Trade: 1,341.98


Will continue to iterate the strategy as the live trades flow in

Trade closed: stop reached

Bleah but, lets go!
Comments
scrom_indicator
Hello Mr. Donkulous! Might I say sir you look very lovely in the mornings, but as the day goes on the tired trading gives it's speen. Take that into careful consideration my friend and God lunch as always.
MyCryptoParadise_Simon
Great effort but things didn't go as planned. Halving volatility at its peak
Ronin_trader
@MyCryptoParadise_Simon, yea thanks! Well onwards to planning for the next trade!
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