To move higher Ethereum must break Kijun Sen (red line) which is a tough resistance.
If it does we may see a nice rally. Otherwise there will be blood.
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On the bearish side (bullish point of view below): - We are still in a bear market - ETH is still below the EMA Ribbon (see graph 1) - ETH is still below Kijun Sen on the daily time frame (see graph 2) - On the 4h timeframe Chikou Span must get out of the Ichimoku cloud - Volume is going down whil ETH is moving higher - The ratio long vs short positions on Bitfinex is 2,83 (482k ETH longs vs 170k short)
Graph 1: Daily time frame:
Graph 2: 4h time frame:
On the bullish side: - There is a bullish divergence on the daily time frame (see Graph 3) - ETH is above Tenkan sen (a) and Kijun sen (b) on the 4h time frame (see Graph 4) - ETH tests new highs since Sept. 8th.
Graph 3:
Graph 4:
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If I had to decide I would opt for the bearish camp even if I'm not very confident at this precise moment.
On the 1h chart (which is not the most reliable) we see: - Decreasing volumes - MACD twist - Small bearish divergence
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There will be blood if ETH close a 4h candle below Kijun Sen (now at 230$).