ETH top between $9-12k - January 2022

BINANCE:ETHUSD   Ethereum / U.S. Dollar
If history repeats itself and it does something similar to 2017-2018, you can expect ETH at $9-12k early 2022.
Longer cycles + less returns.

I want to believe ETH will goto $20k but that's not what I see on the charts. When a ETH ETF is announced, yes it would be possible.

What do you think?