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MarcPMarkets
Jun 30, 2017 11:50 PM

ETHUSD .382 Support Break Sign of Weakness. 

Ethereum / DollarBitfinex

Description

ETHUSD has broken 273 (the .382) support from the major bullish trend on the larger time frame (See large red arrow). The bullish trend is still intact in my opinion, but this support break confirms short term bearish momentum. Situations like these are very conflicting since the larger time frame presents a bullish condition while short term selling weighs on this market at the moment. Based on the structure on the 15 minute chart, momentum is now bearish and I would expect selling pressure to push prices lower toward the next major support at the 247 area. As long as price stays below the 280 resistance, it is reasonable to expect lower lows. Two scenarios can happen that will negate this short term bearish outlook. 1) The formation of a broad double bottom in the 274 area (where we are at the time of this writing). 2) A break above the 280 resistance followed by a higher low. Until one or both of these bullish scenarios emerge, I will be watching for price to retrace and hold the 247 support. From there I will reevaluate and look for bullish reversals. I am not a big fan of shorting a market that is generally strong, I like to stack probabilities in my favor. My preference is to stay flat and wait for bullish momentum to return. Let's see how this plays out. Stay tuned for my next update.
Comments
josephtse
You need to be looking at the daily and weekly chart. This thing is going to $200. 50dma is about to fall through support. Good luck. Nasdaq, DOW, SPX, Russell are all about to take a dump soon. Global indexes are all about to take a dump.
GrapevineX
Do you think anything positive about the 5 MA potentially crossing up over the 10MA on the daily?
MarcPMarkets
@rubyAM, I am very bullish on the daily and weekly time frames. I don't look at the MA's because they are lagging, but price action is clearly bullish and I would expect any MA cross over signals to be supportive. Price action will give you a much better idea, especially when the market reverses.
GrapevineX
@MarcPMarkets, I only ask b/c of my idea: Check it,
UnknownUnicorn1007269
Some huge drops in rapid fashion, i am nervous :S Im short right now for a while, but when to end this trade...
MarcPMarkets
@zrahsut, if I was short, I would be nervous too. That's why I won't short it. Nice trade though.
skidoo
thank you!!!
MarcPMarkets
@skidoo, You're welcome. Will try to keep everyone updated. Stay tuned for more.
tceternal
great TA, thanks for the insight!
MarcPMarkets
@tceternal, Thank you happy to help.
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