On the bull case, a significant increase in and a succesful close above the daily 50EMA might send ETH to test the previous local high at around 160$, but I find this a less probable scenario.
Bitcoin ATH's are about every 4 years 2 weeks. NOV 29, 2013 to DEC 15, 2017. The lows, they were around Jan 28, 2015 were 14 months after the high. Basically, by Feb 28/ MAR 1, we should know for sure if the bear market is stronger than the bull market, if we don't see it sooner.