ETHUSDT 1H — OTE Short Setup Mapped | IF This · THEN That

Apr 9

Price is sitting at the 0.382 (2,227.36) after a clean structural break.

The setup is not active yet. This is the map.

IF price rallies into the OTE zone — 0.236 (2,243.46) to 0.295 (2,236.94) — and holds below the yellow structural level, THEN the short trigger is valid.

What needs to confirm at the OTE:

— CVD divergence (price higher, delta failing to follow)
— Rejection wick or bearish engulf on the 1H close
— No reclaim of the 0 level (2,269.72)

If those conditions align, the thesis is a structured short from the OTE zone down through the 0.382 and into the 1.0 extension at 2,160.51.

Extended target on continuation: 2,117–2,120 area.

Invalidation: clean close above 2,256.55 (0.118) with expanding CVD.
That tells a different story.

This is the CAP Framework's if-this-then-that methodology in live documentation — no ambiguity about what needs to happen before a position exists.

Watching. Not trading it yet.

Apr 10

Trade active

IF THIS triggered. Trade active. Short from 2,230. Full update published as new idea.