4H ETH/USDT

📊 Context
Short-term trend: downward / consolidation under resistance
Structure: lower highs → classic supply pressure
You have a downward trendline drawn and it's working correctly
🔑 Key levels
🟢 Resistance:
2312 – current local struggle zone
2341 – mid-range / often reacts
2387 – main resistance (recent rejections)
🔴 Support:
2247
2218 – 2209 (important demand zone)
2159 (if everything lets up – next target)
📉 What just happened?

Strong upside breakout → rejection on the trendline
Quick dump → failure to maintain bullish structure
Currently: pullback after a downward impulse

This looks like:
👉 Fake breakout + continuation of the downtrend

📊 Indicators
Stoch RSI:
Coming off overbought → Downward momentum
Not yet at an extreme low → room for further decline
MACD:
Red histogram
MACD line reversing down
👉 Bearish signal
🧠 Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 (more likely):

Continuation of downtrend

Rejection from 2312–2320 → drop to:
2247
then 2210

👉 If 2210 breaks → quick move to 2160

🟢 Scenario 2:

False dump + bounce
Condition:

Return above 2312
Retest as support

Then:

Target: 2341 → 2387
But until it breaks the trendline → it's just a bounce.
⚠️ The most important thing:

As long as the price is below the downtrend line:
👉 you're shorting/selling the rally