Playout 1 (Green): For a convincing trend reversal I would expect to see the Daily Candle close above down trend or 0.005 support, then create a Higher High above Lower high from Feb 2020. Followed by a Higher Low.
Playout 2 (Red): Daily candle doesn't close above down trend. Retraces to (possibly) create a new Higher Low at one of the support levels. Price would then need to create a Higher High above todays Lower High for a convincing change in market structure.
Playout 3: Complete retracement to create a new LL :(
conservative wins!