Marek99

Pipeline Access, beyond game theory models

Long
Marek99 Updated   
NYSE:ETP   None
Now that the pipeline access will be handled with different people involved this is great news for all those involved.

As with all aboriginal treaties and disputes, this one will go down for the books.

Step 1) Diffuse the situation - mishandled from the start.
Step 2) PR - again awful handling.

Pipeline should be built and will be built. Now that changeover is handled different PR, GT, PSY will/are involved. A satisfactory outcome to both sides involved in this dispute will complete the short stretch of the pipeline.

The art of manipulation and prediction is just an art to a human being... In my prediction models, I remove the erroneous human component from it. This situation is fixable. From the very start of the first negotiation, things were mishandled. In my models a chance for this pipeline access to be built under Obama administration is great. Which would make it, a more preferable choice for both sides. However, depending on how this will proceed and which models will be utilized...

With Sun in the picture, a professional firm will handle this adequately, as step 1 was so badly messed up....

The graph doesn't depict the 100% path, long term, great.
Comment:
There's time for this to be resolved before Jan 20, which would be a more preferable outcome. However, there are also other pressing matters, and perhaps hesitation is playing a role here. Precedence that can come out of this would have cascading reactions for a lot issues and not just related to oil. Anyhow, my models still show a favorable outcome can be achieved before Jan 20 while eliminating the danger of precedence.
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