Marek99
Long

Pipeline Access, beyond game theory models

NYSE:ETP   None
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Now that the pipeline access will be handled with different people involved this is great news for all those involved.

As with all aboriginal treaties and disputes, this one will go down for the books.

Step 1) Diffuse the situation - mishandled from the start.
Step 2) PR - again awful handling.

Pipeline should be built and will be built. Now that changeover is handled different PR , GT , PSY will/are involved. A satisfactory outcome to both sides involved in this dispute will complete the short stretch of the pipeline.

The art of manipulation and prediction is just an art to a human being... In my prediction models, I remove the erroneous human component from it. This situation is fixable. From the very start of the first negotiation, things were mishandled. In my models a chance for this pipeline access to be built under Obama administration is great. Which would make it, a more preferable choice for both sides. However, depending on how this will proceed and which models will be utilized...

With Sun in the picture, a professional firm will handle this adequately, as step 1 was so badly messed up....

The graph doesn't depict the 100% path, long term, great.
Comment: There's time for this to be resolved before Jan 20, which would be a more preferable outcome. However, there are also other pressing matters, and perhaps hesitation is playing a role here. Precedence that can come out of this would have cascading reactions for a lot issues and not just related to oil. Anyhow, my models still show a favorable outcome can be achieved before Jan 20 while eliminating the danger of precedence.
get out of the buffet rail road investments !
they will lose with this pipe line ,
and free up rail cars to us on other areas without a pipe line
and trump is not bribe able
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@G13Man, everything is "bribe able" - everything in nature has a weak and a sweet spot, finding it, knowing how to use it is another thing.

This situation, engineering an experience and the beginning of that program needed to be a surgical strike, not a middle try to push it thru approach. This is an excellent example of how NOT to spearhead an experience. Step 1 was never observed and I suspect that people tried to sweep it under the rug and downplay some key critical moments which lead to wrong decision making, PR was a total disaster.

But like most mistakes, they usually spawn out of the wrong framework.

Here's one path that was not remotely considered and factored into the equation, there were many more just as important, but this one played a crucial role. You never go to war with Natives without "Thanksgiving", this ain't Ecuador.

There is still time to defuse, let's see what happens. Ether way, Rail cars are the most unfriendly and most dangerous methods to move cargo like oil. Reality has to sink in here, and I'm sure even Mr. Buffet knows that.
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