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justatrader
Sep 26, 2014 9:20 AM

EURAUD - Overstretched divergence 

Euro Fx/Australian DollarFXCM

Description

Notes on chart with 2 possible scenarios. Either ways, a corrective move back to 1.4175 is likely.
Comments
justatrader
There's a similar pattern playing out on GBPAUD H1 as well with a bigger target to the downside.
Lacunoide
Yes, good idea. I am short myself on EURAUD.
justatrader
Where are your stops?
Lacunoide
Carry trade :-D no SL. the position is very small.
justatrader
I've been in a similar short position on EURCAD since August. So far so good.

On EURAUD, 1.4175 will be key. It could resume the uptrend again from here, provided 1.40356 (the low before) is not taken out. If price does fall and close below that level, its back to the good old EURAUD shorts again.
Lacunoide
large interest rate difference make me believe that the uptrend will be limited. You know in euroarea the interest is almost negative. The swap will kill off all the bulls sooner or later.
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