Another example trade to test the efficiency of the modified mouteki trading method.
Comments
skmr
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Trade looked quite optimistic towards downside, but I blame it on AUD weakness.
skmr
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There is 200 MA @ 4075, so far this MA gave strong support. How did you come up with 40333?
justatrader
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OK.. quick check.. 1.40333 from H4 is the first target.
justatrader
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You can guide your trade with H1/H4 EMA's and MACD.. for the moment both are bearish, exit when they turn bullish. On the daily perspective, there will be a bounce after which the trade should settle.
skmr
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Thanks again,
Looks like EURAUD trade got triggered, the final target is approx 500 pips on this chart. I prefer closing at the horizontal line cut vertical line, since this pair still got steam to rally upwards. Are these real trades or just experimenting?
justatrader
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The entry is 50% of the distance in the TL. In this case because it is a short entry, it would be 50% distance from the peak to the point where the TL is cut by the vertical line. To be honest, I trade mostly with Wolfe Waves and was drawn to this as an alternate system. I have a couple of trades that should be closing soon (probably today/tomorrow). You can follow on that. I think the weakness in this system is in identifying the right peak (most losing trades are caused because price moves back up again. Ex: today's AUDJPY). This method is still a work-in-progress. Using HA candles does help a bit.. will be posting more ideas using this method so you can see for yourself.
skmr
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thanks.
how did you come up with entry point? Also, what is your winning % with this method?
justatrader
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Sure no problem.. Yes, break of TL is ideal.. but that would offset the RR ratio. Ideally, taking a position after a candle opens below the entry line (1.41894) should help. But, being on the safe side, the break of the TL is also not that bad for trade entry. In this case, i'd prefer to see a higher RR (atleast 1.5 and more).
skmr
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Thanks for the reply. I got lot of questions on this method, hopefully you wont mind answering them.
On above chart, dont you think we should wait for the break of trend line?
justatrader
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Hey skmr... In all honesty, I deviated from this method (got carried away by using Fibs instead) and got a bit burnt during last month. So i'm back to the drawing board, albeit using Heiken Ashi. These candles tend to give a better picture of trends (which is what we are after). While it does work quite good, the problem i'm trying to figure out is 'HOW & WHEN' to get into the trade.
I have quite a few trades planned out, so let's see how they figure.