4xForecaster
Short

$EUR $AUD Continue To Decline Into Potential Geo | $USD #forex

FX:EURAUD   Euro Fx/Australian Dollar
758 19 12
Predictive/Forecasting Model defined bearish qualitative target as:

TG-Lo = 1.31707 - 21 APR 2015.

Background geometry continues to develop into credible decline continuation. Extent of ectopic Point-5 as 5-prime (5') also remains attainable relative to above forecast.


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David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Denver, Colorado - USA


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David Alcindor
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Recent analysis of $EURAUD:
Several Geometries Point To Rally | $EUR $AUD #ECB #RBA

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David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter, LinkedIn, StockTwits)

Signal Service or Private Course - Contact: admin@KADAInstitute.com
All updates on https://twitter.com/4xForecaster
nikokoev
2 years ago
Hi David! There could be nice clusture between 5 and 5' from two WW models.
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+1 Reply
emre PRO
2 years ago
Could be heading to geometry completion on the H4 chart as well
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+1 Reply
4xForecaster PRO emre
2 years ago
@emre, @nikokoev (Sorry, Niko, I did not see your posting til today),

Always make sure that your "system" (i.e.: the interplay of geometries) fits within the whole. For instance:

1 - Niko, your Point-1 has some way to go. If you plotted it to the next level down to the LEFT, that anchor point would offer a much better departure point for a "Tunneling"

2 - Emre, yours is the fractal problem as that of Niko (i.e.: exact same misplacement, but at the lesser scale), wherein placement of Point-1 at the origin of the swing (bottom, left) would allow a much easier "Tunneling".

If you corrected each of the two, you would obtain a geometric correspondence between the two, whereby their respective 1-4 Line ("Tunneling Line") would turn into parallels on an even much larger scale, as follows:


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Is each of these suggestion making sense? Ideally, as a visual exercise, I would look for the 1-3 Line that can be the flattest possible, without breaking the rule of convergence or ipsi-directionality.


David Alcindor
Reply
emre PRO 4xForecaster
2 years ago
I really appreciate the input, David, thanks. Here goes the updated chart:
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+1 Reply
4xForecaster PRO emre
2 years ago
@emre - Yes, the 1-4 Line seems to traverse through more easily, it seems this way.

David
Reply
emre PRO 4xForecaster
2 years ago
Target point 5 hit on April 28 and headed back up to 1-4 line
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nikokoev 4xForecaster
2 years ago
Fantastic David! Thank you very much for this!
+1 Reply
28 APR 2015 - Update:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD: As larger geo unfolds, watch for possibility of interim smaller geo imposition:

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$EUR $AUD $USD #ECB #RBA
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David Alcindor
+2 Reply
Javier PRO 4xForecaster
2 years ago
You thing we can go back to 1.42 ?
+1 Reply
4xForecaster PRO Javier
2 years ago
Hello @Javier - If the geo is unfolding according to its own agreement, then it will fill that space between here and up above to complete its plot, whatever that means in terms of value.

When Bitcoin was in the 900-600 digits, I called it to fall in the 200-300. A lot of people either dismissed it as a ludicrous opinion or an impossible belief. In both cases, they were right to object, in so far as these were neither an opinion, nor a belief. I was simply posting data from the predictive model.

I personally am not able to emit any reliable opinion. Anytime I do so, especially when contrary to the Predictive/Forecasting Model, I end up being wrong. When developing the Model, I would still trade based on my "belief" or "opinion", but I would see my capital dwindle and the Model gaining precision.

All of the analyses I post are neither opinion, nor believes. They are the product of either a Quantitative Model ("Predictive/Forecasting Model") or an exercise in advance market geometries.


David
+2 Reply
30 APR 2015 - Update:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD surged as forecast from Pt-5 of internal geo. towards distal 1-4 Line; Bearish:

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$EUR $AUD #ECB #RBA #forex
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David Alcindor
+3 Reply
14 MAY 2015 - Update:

TECH-NOTE:

Price did rally as forecast, but carved out a structure high that would displace Point-4 to a new locus - The result is as follows:


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In terms of Geo development, there is little to no change as far as the 1-3 Line goes. What changes is the slope of the 1-4 Line. Looking at the Off-Set Rule, if price were to rally off of Point-5, then the 1-4 Line would remains the principle target of interest, as is the rule in Mr. Bill Wolfe's www.WolfeWave.com introductory explanation. If, instead price were to attain a lower level (and validate the Predictive Model's bearish target), then a return to the level corresponding to Point-4 would be the next, conservative, but most probable level of probable attainment.

A quick word on $XAU:

Recent price action in $XAU suggested a possible rallying. This would not only fuel a rallying in $AUD, $CAD and $CHF, but also a significant rallying in the $EUR, since both are antipodean agents to the US Dollar (the other two first are major exporters, and SNB has a significant reserve in gold), hence propping the inherent values of the economies correlating with Gold value).

Reason why this is an important detail is because this $EUR vs. $AUD chart pits two currencies that have a strong correlation with the value of gold. Once this occurs, one should NOT look their relative correlating strength in gold (although it will have a net effect on how one moves relative to the other), but other core fundamental issues would need to be considered.

For instance, price of oil, if it is rising, would impair earnings of the manufacturing and exporting companies of the Eurozone, but increase the revenue of the Canadian oil exporting industry. Thus, a force-multiplier effect might bring the $EURCAD down, where $EUR would be declining and $CAD rising simultaneously, which is much more impactful than when one fundamental event impacts only one side of the relative-strength equation.

However, per my recent $UKOil and $USOil charts, price of oil is expected to fall further ... Perhaps a result of negotiations from a recent meeting between the US and the oil cartels - Who knows. Charts are good foretellers, though. In the context of this Forex pair, this would prop up the $EUR and negatively impact $CAD, sending this pair to higher highs, which has been the Predictive Model's initial indication (see $EURAUD daily/weekly charts I have posted before).

Best,


David Alcindor
+4 Reply
nikokoev 4xForecaster
2 years ago
Very nice global analysis David.
+1 Reply
04 JUN 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD hit 1-4 Line of smaller Wolfe Wave. Predictive Model eyes 1.60079 target:

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$EUR $AUD #ECB #forex #gold #RBA
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David Alcindor
+3 Reply
10 JUN 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD bullish target remains intact; Yet, expect interim softening before new highs carved:

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$EUR $AUD #forex
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David Alcindor
+2 Reply
08 JUL 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD carves higher highs; Remains intent on 1.60079 forecast:

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$EUR $AUD $USD #ECB #RBA #euro #gold #forex
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David Alcindor
+1 Reply
14 JUL 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$EURAUD shifted Point-4 plot as shown; Increased prob. of decline to 5/5' to complete Geo:

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$EUR $AUD #ECB #RBA
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David Alcindor
+3 Reply
24 AUG 2015 - UPDATE:

Price ignored geometry; Hit Predictive/Forecasting Model target:

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David Alcindor
+1 Reply
4xForecaster PRO 4xForecaster
a year ago
ADDENDUM - Tech-Note:

Here is what really happened, thanks to a Wolfe Wave completion at the 1-4 Line - In this case, the complexity that I usually seek out of the 2-3 Leg (i.e.: an Elliott Wave TZZ) did not materialize) and a much simpler geometric event occurred out of the Wolfe Wave.


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David Alcindor
+2 Reply
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