The EUR/AUD is currently trading at 1.7860, having recently rejected the key resistance zone between 1.8000 and 1.8430. Following this rejection, the pair is likely to enter a corrective pullback, offering an opportunity to buy the dip within a strong bullish trend.
The price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.7406, Span B at 1.7259), confirming that the medium- to long-term trend is bullish. The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are both in overbought territory:
TSI(10): 0.93
TSI(20): 0.79
This signals that the upward move may need to cool off before continuation. The ideal retracement zone lies between 1.7185 and 1.6837, aligning closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the most recent swing. This zone also acted as previous resistance, which could now turn into support — a classic flip scenario in trending markets.
What strengthens the case for a long setup is that every time TSI has entered oversold territory during this uptrend, price has found strong support and rallied. The TSI behavior shows a consistent pattern of reliable long entries when momentum cools off temporarily during a bullish trend.
Trade Setup Summary:
Retracement Buy Zone: 1.7185 – 1.6837 (support + 61.8% Fib)
TP1: 1.8000 (mid supply)
TP2: 1.8430 (range high)
SL: Below 1.6800 (structure invalidation)
As long as the price remains above 1.68, the structure supports further upside with targets back at the recent highs and possibly beyond if the bullish momentum resumes.
EUR/AUD is driven by monetary policy divergence and economic sentiment in the Eurozone vs. Australia. While the ECB has paused rate hikes, it still maintains a hawkish tone due to persistent inflation, whereas the RBA has shown signs of dovishness amid cooling data and weaker Chinese demand. This divergence continues to support the euro over the aussie, especially in a risk-off environment. Unless macro conditions change significantly, EUR/AUD remains fundamentally aligned with the bullish technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
The price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.7406, Span B at 1.7259), confirming that the medium- to long-term trend is bullish. The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are both in overbought territory:
TSI(10): 0.93
TSI(20): 0.79
This signals that the upward move may need to cool off before continuation. The ideal retracement zone lies between 1.7185 and 1.6837, aligning closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the most recent swing. This zone also acted as previous resistance, which could now turn into support — a classic flip scenario in trending markets.
What strengthens the case for a long setup is that every time TSI has entered oversold territory during this uptrend, price has found strong support and rallied. The TSI behavior shows a consistent pattern of reliable long entries when momentum cools off temporarily during a bullish trend.
Trade Setup Summary:
Retracement Buy Zone: 1.7185 – 1.6837 (support + 61.8% Fib)
TP1: 1.8000 (mid supply)
TP2: 1.8430 (range high)
SL: Below 1.6800 (structure invalidation)
As long as the price remains above 1.68, the structure supports further upside with targets back at the recent highs and possibly beyond if the bullish momentum resumes.
EUR/AUD is driven by monetary policy divergence and economic sentiment in the Eurozone vs. Australia. While the ECB has paused rate hikes, it still maintains a hawkish tone due to persistent inflation, whereas the RBA has shown signs of dovishness amid cooling data and weaker Chinese demand. This divergence continues to support the euro over the aussie, especially in a risk-off environment. Unless macro conditions change significantly, EUR/AUD remains fundamentally aligned with the bullish technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
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Disclaimer
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Trade forex, indices, stocks and metals with up to US$100.000 in company's funding.
Complete a challenge to access funding or go for instant deposit.
Trading involves substantial risk. Not financial advice
Complete a challenge to access funding or go for instant deposit.
Trading involves substantial risk. Not financial advice
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.