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Kumowizard
Mar 25, 2014 5:35 AM

EURCAD - what's cooking here? A correction? Short

Euro Fx/Canadian DollarFXCM

Description

This has been one of the most beautyful Bull I have ever seen in my life... and which I haven't played since I very rarely follow CAD. But it is very overstretched now, with MACD negative divergence and Slow Stoch bearish cross on the Daily chart, and with extremely low ADX on the 4 Hrs time frame. The minimum what we can expect here is a correction down to 1,5200 - 1,5250, and even though I hate to give such early prognosis, but looking at last week's cpi numbers, and this MACD divergence I would not be surprised if we see the end of this bull at this spike. However only time can justify this feeling (1-3 Months maybe). Since the underlying trend is extremely bullish, I would rather play it through Put options.
Comments
Kumowizard
1,5150 tgt met. Take profit.
Kumowizard
Close half of short position here, as first tgt is almost met. Slow Stoch is oversold, expecting a bounce up. Resell around 1,5350-1,5400 if setup confirms then. (I also closed my 1M Long Put 1,5100 strike.)
Kumowizard
I sold 0,5 unit outright at 1,5480. Size up below 1,5400. Initial stop 1,5550, tgt 1,5150-1,5200.
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