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DerekUweri71
Aug 14, 2014 9:32 PM

Has the Eur run out of bullish steam against the Pound Short

Euro Fx/British PoundFXCM

Description

Earlier this month, EurGbp broke a bearish trendline and appeared to be in an uptrend and the price was crawling up inside the rising channel. However, after price made a bullish rally yesterday to the top of the channel, there doesn't seem to be any follow through. Price is at the top of the channel and is also touching a major trendline. A pin bar has formed at this juncture and there could be a sell-off and a resumption of the old downtrend.

RSI is also showing some bearish divergence.

Stop loss above pin bar at 0.8040
Target will be at least to the bottom of channel - 0.7940 and could go to support of 0.7915

If price breaks the major bearish trendline and exceeds the high of the pinbar/shooting star, then this idea has failed and my bias will be bullish.
Comments
DerekUweri71
I just posted an idea on GBPJPY, Thanks.
dopey99
I feel the size of the pinbar is too small against the monster bullish bar from the previous day so I do not feel this pinbar will really work.
Just my opinion. Good luck trading!
DerekUweri71
Samuel, Thanks for comments. The pin bar on mt4 is much bigger. I'm unable to copy paste it.
DerekUweri71
If price does indeed drop, would this swing high that I plotted not make for a valid trend-line ?
DerekUweri71
Thanks for comments. I agree. Isn't it possible to have more than one trendl ine?
Technician
Hi Derek, my main concern is that the falling trend line is not plotted correctly. Thank you
Mazen_alhegili
True we have a good confirmation of broken trend.
Mazen_alhegili
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