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TheBanker
Jun 5, 2017 9:02 AM

"Winner takes all" on EURGBP for UK Elections 

EURO / BRITISH POUNDICE

Description

... after what was another upsetting weekend in the city, sadly, no surprises!!! Elections now taking centre stage in UK alongside Saudi/Qatar relations.

We'll wrap up the macro details in a few as I will be publishing 2 setups on EURGBP for those wishing to take part these will include references to the interpretation/context of recent numbers and politics.

-> The options ... Long or short.

Those choosing to take part have 2 triggers to pick from; price and fibs and we can compare at the end which was the best (if any).

(i) FIBS

Longs ->

Shorts ->


(ii) PRICE

Longs ->

Shorts ->



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Choose from;

BUY: Limit BUY @ 0.865x -> TP1 0.882x -> TP2 0.900x
SELL: Limit SELL @ 0.881x -> TP1 0.845x -> TP2 0.823x

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This is the range we are currently trading in:

Bottom of range: 0.8350x
Top of range: 0.9270x
Mid: 0.8750x




=> Conservatives remaining with unchanged majority, expectations will offer a relief rally towards the 0.84xx handle after the election. This would give us continuation of the range (Mid/Low) of 0.84xx - 0.88xx

=> Conservatives losing majority and Corbyn the communist getting the hung parliament we will see expectations towards the 0.90xx handle in a swift knee jerk before settling in the 0.84xx - 0.88x range till the end of this year when we will start to trade the impact of Brexit in equities.




Come on jump in and make a call!!

Comment

for those who are 'LONG' via fibs...

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and there we have it for those who took the fib execution and were long... very well done!!

Comment

A royal mess for T.May and with that ... e.u towards 0.9

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so, which was the best trigger... fibs? or pure price?

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Well played to those who chose 'Long'

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" BUY: Limit BUY @ 0.865x -> TP1 0.882x -> TP2 0.900x "

TP1 has been cleared

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TP2 has been cleared

Trade closed: target reached

Comment

Well done to those who took the time to read this description, which outlined the trade from start to finish - there is no margin for error, all was said above for a complete flawless swing for 350 pips and counting. A few I know are still holding, and a few owe me a beer.
Comments
Childrenofmen
I laughed :D.
Corbyn the communist?
Do you even have a clue what communism is? He isnt a communist in a longshot.
Anyway short eurgbp ;). (thank me later).
TheBanker
@Childrenofmen, strongly disagree. are you sure that you understand his stance on workers/consumers rights? how about free markets? free trade?
Childrenofmen
i certainly do, communism is everbody equal, no inequality. Corbyn his policy will not achieve that. His policy will however decrease inequality but it still wont be communism @TheBanker,
TheBanker
@Childrenofmen, now market has spoken, not sure any one will be 'thanking you later' - Corbyn the communist outperformed all of your expectations
Childrenofmen
not really he disapointed, kinda baffling may scored so many seats with her program @TheBanker,
TheBanker
@Childrenofmen, how on earth do you figure that he disapointed? complete short circuit to the Tories.. against your expectations!!!
Childrenofmen
Well what i think politically and market wise are 2 different things. Offcourse my play was based on a may election majority... the trend is there afterall, but pure politically its uncomprehensible extreme right parties can stil win so many seats. Its a generational issieu i presume, in 5-10 years the economy can prosper again. To soon atm @TheBanker,
pmcllc
right on the money, Italy, French elections pro Euro which may get stronger???
danielanthony92
'Corbyn the communist' i lol'ed xD
ok thanks!
danielanthony92
@danielanthony92, so who is the majority now? May or Corbyn?
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