This pair is in a indecisive trend which could suggest the bulls are exhausted. We have been in an uptrend since 07/2013 with a peak in 12/2014. The mid price (50% fib) is 121.800. This is in confluence with completion around 120.000
I see many confluences to the downside. A break and close above the resistance will invalidate this idea unless it's a clear fake-out.
We are trading above the MA's atm however we have crossed over to the downside and it is the first day of the week so we could see a rally to the 50% Fib (DTL res) before tanking lower to make new lows.