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PriceActionTrading
Apr 14, 2015 4:25 AM

EURJPY COUNTERTREND TRADE. HUGE RISK REWARD. Long

Euro Fx/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

THIS IS A BUYING OUTLOOK,
HOWEVER OPPORTUNITY TO BUY HAS NOT PRESENTED ITSELF YET.
PRICE HAS BEEN ON THE DECLINE FOR 8 DAYS STRAIGHT WITHOUT TAKING ANY BREAK.
PRICE HAS RECENTLY CLOSED BELOW 127.00 ON THE D1.
I AM LOOKING FOR A D1 PIN BAR FAKEY OR EVEN A H4 PIN BAR FAKEY CUTTING 126.00 - 126.5 REGION. PRICE MUST NEVER CLOSE BELOW 126.00 FOR 2 H4 BARS CONSECUTIVELY FOR THIS TRADE TO BE VALID.
IF D1 CLOSES BELOW 126.00. IT MUST CLOSE ABOVE IT THE VERY NEXT DAY.
ELSE, THIS TRADE IS CANCELLED

IN FACT IM NOT EVEN SURE I WILL BE ABLE TO ENTER THIS TRADE. BUT I AM LOOKING AT 126.00 - 126.50.

REASON I WOULD TAKE THIS TRADE IS AS FOLLOW
RSI DIVERGENCE ON THE H4 AND D1
FOREX NEVER GOES IN "ONE DIRECTION" FOR TOO MANY DAYS, 8 CONSECUTIVE DAYS IS TOO MANY.
126.00 IS A LONG TERM SUPPORT, IN FACT ITS SO LONG YOU HAVE TO CHANGE TO THE M1 TIMEFRAME TO SEE WHAT IM TALKING ABOUT.
THE HIGHER TIME FRAME THE MORE IMPORTANCE IT HOLDS
LASTLY, I BELIEVE H4 IS REACHING THE END OF SOME GARTLEY/BAT PATTERN (NEED HELP FROM CHARTIST AS I AM NOT FAMILIAR WITH THESE PATTERNS)



SO. KEEP A LOOKOUT AT THIS HUGE POTENTIAL TRADE.

SUBSCRIBE LIKE COMMENT MY IDEAS IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE.
HAPPY PIPPING.
Comments
IvanLabrie


Fade the rally is a better idea I think...this is a freight train (possibly a wave 3 of a large degree in EW terms).
PriceActionTrading
Freight train it definitely is. Just thought that buying at major support 126.00 with slight RSI divergence H4 D1 will provide some good risk reward short term. Definitely looking to sell again once enough strength is gained on this pair.

Thanks.
IvanLabrie
Watch gbpjpy, posted an update...no major retrace in sight:

PriceActionTrading
Yea exactly no retrace in sight. To think i have posted an idea GBPJPY sell on retrace...
No retrace in sight... another 24 - 48 hours before my GBPJPY idea becomes non-tradable...
This EURJPY with RSI divergence could be a good one.
I like RSI divergences. prove to be quite tide turning short to medium term H4 D1. My personal opinion.
IvanLabrie
We can spot a retracement using 4h and daily here, but it's a weekly scale short, and a wave 3 at it...it's expected to be intense. I'll work with you on that, I want to scale in on these jpy shorts.
Saw my Nikkei projection? Seems like the top is in.
PriceActionTrading
Looks like the opportunity has passed. Probably should be bought it when I was looking at it at 126.08 just now.
will consider getting in if price manages to spike to 126.3 next H4 bar.

At least our USDCAD is doing right now. broke the low of the gravestone. looking great.
IvanLabrie
Some great contrarian trades setting up.
PriceActionTrading
Some 120 pips not gained..
IvanLabrie
Haha, always fun to be right, eh?
I consider it vital to make an in depth analysis of multiple pairs to asess relative strength and find the best opportunities.
It's never a waste of time.
PriceActionTrading
You are right. Mutiple pairs analysis is a core for me.
I only enter a AUDUSD short if i am already sure that EURGBPNZD/USD are already/or going to tumble.
It is a basis for entering trade and i have explained this in some of my ideas. Where i enter a trade because of "correlation" reason.
Like for example this trade, i have reason to believe that EURUSD EURGBP are on a short term upward momentum and i find EURJPY to provide the best signal thus i published EURJPY idea.
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