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tradewonk
Apr 26, 2017 8:40 AM

EURNZD Short

Euro Fx/New Zealand DollarFXCM

Description

Retest back into a supply zone , possible retracement, a short opportunity.

Stuff to remember:

— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further

— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly

— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future

— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak

— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run

— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms

— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance

— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is
Comments
arif_awan
great chart. price is not gonna break recent high.
jojofang0901
Very beautiful trade setup, thank you for sharing your idea. I have similar view as well on this pair.
PaperChase
Nice looking trade. Great analysis. I'm in!
CAP-XM
I respect your simple and very powerful analysis
tradewonk
@CAP-XM, My pleasure!
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