vlad.adrian
Long

EURNZD - Fair price, good setup

FX:EURNZD   Euro Fx/New Zealand Dollar
188 0 7
Looking on a weekly chart, it does look like the long lasting downtred has ended and a new uptrend emerged. However, if you look from a fundamental perspective, it is almost impossible to have the same opinion. There is no reason to see a massive surge in the Euro             that will last for months, because right now the currency to own is the dollar. On the other hand, the NZD still offers a nice carry and the rate cuts are probably over. However, considering how clean the chart looks, I think a bet is appropriate.

On the right side, the daily chart offers a great buy setup, with price standing just at value on the weekly. Class A bullish divergence after breaking the neckline of a H&S and a nice reversal candle.
Because of the fundamental reasons I stated in the first paragraph, I wouldn't look for more than 1.79 - 1,80 in this pair. The stop is just below yesterday's low, and if that low is to break, I'm out.
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