I probably short the EURUSD around the 1.2545-1.2550 range, provided I see some kind of reversal pattern.
The institutional .50 level aligns with one the the SR lines of the 4H swing point. It is also the low of the 3th candle of the daily swing point.
Price is in the STD2 sell zone of the CBDR and it aligns with the OTE zone, around the sweet spot. We will clear the stops resting since the NY session of last Friday and Friday's asian session low should act as resistance.
When we reach this level, the DXY should close the gap around the 86.90 level.
Take profit at the previous low around 1.2450 should be ideal for a 100 pip win. With a 30 pips stop loss this should be a nice r/r of > 3
Comments
fxwhitebelt
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Really like this analysis, especially if it lines up with a retracement to the 86.80 level on the USDX which were the highs from 3rd and 4th of October.
hopiplaka1
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Monday cleaned last week's low, if we take an OTE from that low to yesterday's high, the 1.2500 came in right at the 62% retracement.
So if the EURUSD continues to go up from here, we'll probably have a NYO reversal profile when the "trade balance" news comes out.
So I will monitor the DXY and EURUSD around the 1.2545-50 to 1.2570 level for a short.
hopiplaka1
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It looks like 1.2520 is the resistance, now OTE to go short after the news event.
DXY found support on 87.1 (resistance turned support) and is also forming an OTE.
Going short @ 1.2518 with a stop at 1.2540 would be a nice NYO reversal profile trade.