EURUSD Long: Compression Near Key Zones Signals Upcoming Move

Jan 7

Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined ascending structure, respecting a rising trend line that acted as dynamic support during multiple pullbacks. This bullish phase showed consistent higher lows, confirming buyer control. After the impulsive upside move, price entered a consolidation range, highlighted on the chart, where buyers and sellers temporarily reached equilibrium. From this range, EURUSD executed a bullish breakout, confirming continuation and pushing price toward the upper structure. However, as price approached the Supply Zone around 1.1720–1.1750, bullish momentum started to fade. Multiple reactions, including fake breakouts and rejections near the pivot point, clearly signal strong selling pressure in this area. A descending Supply Line now caps price, reinforcing bearish pressure from above.

Currently, on the downside, price recently swept below short-term support, forming a fake breakout into the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with an ascending Demand Line. The quick recovery from this area suggests active buyers defending demand and preventing deeper downside for now. Currently, EURUSD is compressing between demand support and descending supply resistance, indicating a tightening structure and an upcoming directional move.

My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1670 Demand Zone and respects the rising demand line, a corrective bounce toward the 1.1710–1.1720 Supply Zone is possible. This area remains a key decision point. A strong rejection there would favor renewed bearish continuation, while a clean breakout and acceptance above supply would invalidate the bearish pressure and open the door for bullish continuation. Manage your risk!

Jan 8

Trade active

We see that the euro in such a strong zone has continued its downward movement. But we will watch for further manipulations in the market.

Jan 9

Trade closed manually

We see that despite strong support in the key zone, the euro has still entered an even deeper correction. Our analysis was not designed for such a movement.