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MrRenev
Feb 21, 2021 1:12 PM

Bye Bye growth, oh hello turbulent timesΒ 

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

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If my idea is not displaying correctly here is a screenshot:



I hope this is not too thick to read. An edited video would be better.
Or maybe I could make a version with small screenshots rather than 1 big block of text?

A little additional explanation if you are interested ==>

Part 1: France 2022 elections

Frenchies are complaining about "toxic ideas that come from the anglo-saxon world". LOL.
Someone explain to the french all these "cultural marxist" ideas don't come from the USA/Canada/etc but FROM FRANCE.
They merely embraced these ideas, France was born in them, molded by them.
They were born here in France buddies, exported to the english speaking world, and they are simply coming back like a boomerang.

The far right is for the first time getting 50% intentions of vote at turn 2.
In April 2017 they came second in turn 1, and EURUSD gapped 150 points iirc over that weekend.
In France the president forms the government, he decides who the unelected first minister will be.
It's like the UK where the queen appoints the first minister expect no one has a clue who it will be, or even heard of that guy until he get appointed πŸ˜ƒ

These elections are not only important because the far right & the gap but also because in 2022 it is France that will preside the European Union πŸ˜ƒ
And the french far right is stupposed to be pro Frexit, but recently they have been flaunting the vertues of Europe (to get votes).
So who knows?

The major left wing party, LFI, are now the demon, and liberals want to get their voters. LFI is our Trump. I wrote several times this right wing demonization was BS and they'd do it to the left in a heartbeat, and here we are πŸ˜‰.
LFI calls them the party of freedom, actually not even a party but "just an idea" (with elected officials under that banner but w/e).

LFI says they are not islamo-gauchistes (a dum dum concept invented by the media to tell their sheep who to frown at, just like the word "racist"). LFI says they're not even leftists but just the people that are pro-freedom. Trying to avoid dum dum demonization?
Not leftists lmao, they praise the virtues of a planned economy, are in awe of the soviet union, form alliances with communists, want to tax high earners at 100%, call celebrities & athletes worthless parasites (isn't that true though?), and the worse part: Hate multinationals! Oh no not our monopolistic profits. Oh no! How dare you criticize Gilead and Pfizer! Conspiracy theorist!

So here we have the truth.
Who are the "eeeevil bad guys" in the UK? The Brexit clan, anti-multinational.
Who are the "eeeevil bad guys" in the US? The Trump clan, anti-multinational.
Who are the "eeeevil bad guys" in France? The Stalinists, anti-multinational.

They tried taking away their profits, and so they declared war on them...

After WW2 there was a debate. Was Hitler inevitable, or an anomaly?
It was concluded, and is now the scientific consensus (HAHAHAHA!) that fascism & communism were the outcome of short term problems. Don't you dare say they fixed the problems.
Economists say Hitler built a monster economy BUT he was mean therefore it does not count (seriously that's what they say).
The NSDAP was so successful that they lost their mind... What they did with that success is not the question.
What is in focus is the answer to the question "why are liberals so terrified of national-socialist fascism if they have so little support"?
Because they win. They get strong. Germany went from a third world country to a superpower.
To take down that small country it took the entire Soviet Union, AND the USA, AND North Africa, AND all of Europe resistants.
Just damn.

It would not cross liberal-bourgeois minds that THEY are the problem.
If they do not get replaced by someone slightly radical that will fix the problem, it will keep getting worse.
Like the devil said to south park kids "ok you can postpone it but it will be 10 times worse".

Getting rid of Trump, getting rid of Marine Le Pen by baiting her voters to vote for you, to "buy time while problems solve themselves".
How dense are those people?
The fascists even love this because now they DO want it to get worse.
They consider Trump & Bolsonaro are traitors that are not the messiah they were hoping for.
They are even saying "voting will not remove them". And they may have a point.

EU & USA are old states. Old people don't vote for radical change.
They vote for the status quo, for "no waves" while they peacefully live their last days.
If adults go out in the street to start fighting will the "no waves" old people go fight?
They will tremble and home and pray for things to calm down. "Buy time" just such a dumb concept.

I don't want to go on and on so finally here: In 44 BC the roman swamp impeached Julius Caesar with knives.
Hurray! The populare dictator is gone! Hurray! Yay! Return to normalcy! (This was a slogan by a US candidate just before WW2 πŸ˜†)
And then a civil war erupted and EVERY SINGLE CONSPIRATOR GOT BRUTALLY SLAUGHTERED. Yaaaay πŸ˜†
27 BC, 17 years after Caesar heinous murder, the Empire is born. Augustus Caesar's nephew is the Emperor.
Ah and the senate greatly lost power (hurray).

The swamp won't let people vote for "populism". "Just buy time problems will magically go away".
So we might end up with a power vacuum. So who will we get? Robespierre (Louis XVI vacuum), Hitler (Keiser/Caesar vacuum), Lenin/Stalin (Tsar N2 vacuum), a Caligula maybe?




Part 2: The population aging

More "buying time" (to make things worse later). Printing money to buy time. High IQ strat.
Watch GS Lloyd Blankfein interview/discussion of Paul Tudor Jones (June 18 2018):
"The hope is from the guys making the monetary policies that the growth catches up and solves the problem HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA"

The BOJ gave up this "monetary stimulus" nonsense. They just capitulated after trying so hard.
One nice thing is at some points they were so desperate to get their decade back they literally GAVE MONEY TO SPECULATORS.
When the USA & EU get desperate, and it might be soon, make sure to open your pockets.
Don't get too lost in numbers and statistics or (ewwww) "charting" and nonsense indicators that don't work, looking at fundamentals & bankers mindset sometimes can provide ΓΌber opportunities.


That 2-in-1 idea is packed enough, I'll leave it here, and make something lighter next time.
There is a lot to consider this is not a trivial game, there is no magical ichokumookookoo indicator that tells us what to do with 0 effort 0 info on anything, regardless of everything πŸ˜‚
And also makes us rich quickly in top of lazilly.
Comments
Last_dinosaur
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Dude, you need a psy...
MrRenev
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@Last_dinosaur, I am actually shocked. So which one was it that got to you and brought you to the high IQ conclusion "he needs a psy"?
Was it me saying that production goes down when the number of workers go down?
Was it me saying that when you ignore a problem and simply "buy time" the problem gets worse?
Or perhaps it was me saying migrants might not want to come to a declining civilization of old people just to pay for their retirements?
Waltellar
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@MrRenev

Thank you for this text ( which is not that long considering how much we could say about this old country named France )

I believe several factors are interfering in order to reach the dead end mess of the actual situation in France
It's like a food receipe with such non matching ingredients that no matters if you hire a genius head chef, there will be no way to cook anything decent:

A/ The french people think that they are the best in the world
B/ Their DNA is about "having the right to .." the right to say , to do , to ask for , to give an opinion on anything
C/ Their mind set is driven by equality of people ( family system specificity which is quite rare on earth )
D/ For some reason, i't's been now 2 centuries that history classes in french schools teach french revolution (1789) as " the victory of the oppressed average people against the dominants and wealthiest " and " the magnificent solidarity of a population for a worthy cause "
E/ Regardless point A, the french is troubled by a mix of jealousy or admiration and disregard for other countries ( like US , Germany..)
F/ The french is Mediterranean, which also includes specs likes: he says more than he does , he is not The typical hard worker
G/ He is suffering from too much attention and assistance: less than 100 years after the first "congΓ©s payΓ©s " ( salaries payed during holiday ), the french lives on daily base expectation of the helping hand from government
H/ He considers himself humanist and being romantic by nature, but he doesn't like people who are different from him and often hates his neighbor
I/ French politicians are french

A/ to I/ , just as a starter of the meal ....
Dave-FX-Hunter
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Nice analysis
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