The EUR/USD currency pair experienced a corrective decline and revisited the key level of 1.1000. However, it encountered solid support and bounced back afterwards. The Chairwoman of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, stated in a press conference that inflation pressures remain strong and wage pressure is increasing. Many Board members suggested a 50 bps rate raise due to significant upside risks to inflation.
The EUR/USD is currently facing increased volatility as investors shift their focus to Lagarde’s press conference. After the ECB raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%, the market remained inconclusive. The ECB stressed that underlying inflation remains strong and future decisions will aim to make rates sufficiently restrictive.
With Chair Lagarde's comments about the need for more tightening and the uncertainty of the transmission of past rate raises, we believe that EUR/USD is likely to continue its corrective decline. Therefore, we recommend selling EUR/USD at 1.0995 with a stop loss at 1.1055 and a take profit target at 1.0909.