TheMarketHacker

Nov 5 '15 EURUSD Short Setup #2

Short
TheMarketHacker Updated   
FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
2
With good data coming from the US, and Yellen just a hair shy from categorically stating a rate increase in December, the USD rallied across the board on Wednesday.

Because of that, we were left behind from our setup here:
It is now unlikely for the price to go back to 1.0950. So I am now looking to enter at 1.0900 support->resistance. There is some likelihood of getting left behind as EUR is too weak right now. But I might enter short earlier depending on the time and how the EUR reacts to news coming from the UK today.

I have also revised the target as the NFP might produce another 100+ pip rally for the USD. The target is now 1.0700 for a 1:6.5 instead of 1.0800. I have also tightened the stop loss to just +30 pips.
Trade closed: stop reached:
I didn't take the buy when the news came out that the vote is still 8-0-1. BOE also lowered their CPI forecast for next year. This confirms a slowdown in UK's recovery and it might take a toll on the GBP until the 2nd half of 2016.

I just scalped the news for a sell.
Trade active:
Stupid, I commented on the wrong idea. :D
Comment:
As GBP crashes, EUR is gaining some strength which would hopefully reach for my target entry.
Trade closed: target reached:
Though the ideal entry point wasn't hit, I was able to enter earlier at 1.0880 with a +40 pip stop loss. I was ready to close if the NFP disappoints, but when the squawk announced 271k, the trade was sealed. I closed 1/3 of my position at +170 pips for a 1:3 profit leaving 2/3 for the long haul. I am expecting EURUSD to go down even further as the December rate hike becomes even more likely.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.