Petr Suchanek
Short

EURUSD at turning point?

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
168 10 0
As I highlighted in my previous analyses (e.g. http://bit.ly/1dKbNYm) the Euro             is being at an important level, which is a 61.8 Fibo retracement of prior major downswing. The Eur confirmed the level by testing it once and now retested it with a false break, which can be a sign of weakness and a short signal also.
In terms of my unconventional trading patterns, this market behaviour can be described by a pattern called T4B, which in context with Fibo levels makes a powerful tool to future market direction assesment.
Please, be aware, that this is actually no investing or trading advice. This serves for educational purposes only.

For further information about my trading style, live trading videos and analyses, subscribe to my YouTube Channel: http://bit.ly/17jWiog
or
watch my latest live trading video in Eur and Gbp: http://bit.ly/1c0G8F5

Cheers!
Petr            
Gerasimos
3 years ago
Hello Petr, nice analysis! whats up with the 1.3893 spike yesterday?
Reply
Petr Suchanek Gerasimos
3 years ago
Well, personally I am waiting for a slight retrace up to the resistence to put short there, let us see. It might be a nice opportunity for a swing trade in the big picture.Please add a comment… Positive feedback and constructive criticism are important to authors and the community.
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Gerasimos Petr Suchanek
3 years ago
I wasnt able to enter my short during the spike day yesterday :( but I am waiting fro retrace as well. Looking to short it and the reshort it and reshort it for the longer term. of course this will happen according to the price action confirmation, I also think that the ECB press conference might be the beginning of the downtrend, If Draghi will be dovish.
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Gerasimos Gerasimos
3 years ago
So your trade will be For the Long term as well? 1 year horizon more or less?
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Petr Suchanek Gerasimos
3 years ago
I am a short-term trader in nature, so I will try to pick the entry for the downmove now with a very small size and then based on this macro-pattern I will wait for any opportunity to add shorts like intraday or short-term swings..., hope this helps.
Reply
Petr Suchanek Gerasimos
3 years ago
I would like to add one more thing..., I am still short biased in Eur. The only thing, which will change my bias from short to long is that, if we break trough the max fake level I highlighted in my chart.
Reply
Gerasimos Petr Suchanek
3 years ago
Nice rationale. So apart from the Macro pattern don’t you have any other catalyst for EURUSD downtrend? For example why it will move down? Because of cycle? Because of the EU economy? Or something else?
Thanks for your time Petr!
Reply
Petr Suchanek Gerasimos
3 years ago
Well, I do not asses fundamental impacts on market behaviour. My thoughts are purely technical, based mainly on fibo levels, which give the levels, where market might turn.
Reply
Gerasimos Petr Suchanek
3 years ago
Cool, I mostly agree with your analysis but I believe that it could be helpful to have knowledge of fundamentals, it might make you more confident (add to your positions) and less wrong. I wish you achieve your targets.
Thanks for your time.
Reply
Petr Suchanek
3 years ago
Ok, the retest is here, I put a small size. Let us see, what unfolds..., http://clip2net.com/s/6uNbg1
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