Dukascopy_Analyst

EUR/USD closes under moving average

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
89 0 2
"I'm hoping the G-20 will be a trigger for a turnaround in market sentiment."
- Ayako Sera, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank Ltd. (based on Bloomberg)

Pair's Outlook
The pair dipped under the 200-day SMA yesterday, which reinforces our near-term bearish outlook on the Euro             . The intraday rallies are now to be contained by a new resistance level at 1.1046, while the immediate target is a cluster of supports at 1.0972/54. There, solid demand is implied by the lower bound of the channel, monthly R1, and 100-day SMA , and the price should thus bottom out and commence a multi-week recovery here.

Traders' Sentiment
The SWFX market is in perfect equilibrium with respect to the European currency—50% of positions are long and 50% are short. Concerning the orders, there is only a slight advantage of sell commands (55%) over the buy ones (45%).
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