I never look at fundamentals, I believe everything can be read in a chart. EURUSD
have shown weakness in spite of relentless buying, I think that buying might come to an end now, and we could se a huge drop as a result,. this trade is with a healthy risk to reward,. do I know for sure it will drop? no I don't, but I think there is a big chance it will, and I think it is worth a try.