In the screencast I show how I assess the probability and enter short.
As usual, this is not a prediction - as I don't do predictions, targets, signals, or confirmations.
I expect price to take me out at my stop-loss and I shall sleep very well tonight! :)) But if price moves in my favoured direction, I shall follow on a more suitable trend time frame to minimise loss.
This is not a recommendation to enter short.
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The following is potential on the 2H. Potential does not mean it 'will happen. I do not predict anything.