So I mentioned last week (tradingview.com/v/M1etUDTa/) that we were sitting on the Nov. point of control and that we would likely rotate higher if we held those lows around 3514 area. The market broke shorts in that area several times indicating a bottom there and provided several good longs for me this week.
Good PMI's came out this week and sent the Euro squeezing higher as all the shorts that were piling up at the POC got squeezed. We came just a few pips shy of the Dec. point of control.
I am expecting that we rotate lower to a 50% retrace and also test the Jan. point of control(POC) before going up and pushing above the Dec. POC. Once we break above with conviction we should retest the Dec. POC from above and then use it to pivot higher and explore some new highs. Now far and how long those new highs last is anybody's guess. We will have to see how price reacts once we get into new higher territory.
Point of control is simply the most traded price during a given period - trading day, trading week, trading month etc. Prices tend to gravitate towards these price areas and they tend to be major pivot points - markets tend to reverse at them. On the Euro we recently tested the Nov POC from above and price has reversed off it. We are now heading higher and will likely test the Dec POC from below. We may head back lower if we fail to break above it. If we break above the Dec POC, when the market sells back down to the Dec. POC to test it from above we will likely move higher off it.
MeasuredMove
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Example of the Euro Session point of control providing the exact low after a reaction to negative news of UJ. Check out the Gyazo screenshot which shows the euro session POC.