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GhanaBoyJohn
Jul 11, 2022 1:54 PM

EURUSD downtrend - 0.82EURUSD in sight 

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Euro USD failed to break out - false signal. Now poised to go back to lower range of the channel that has been in place since 2008 high against the dollar.
All-time low is around 0.82 Eur/USD. Extending the downtrending channel out, we can see the EUR/USD at 0.82 - 0.85 range in 2025. Since Euro is the biggest part of the DXY basket, we can expect USD strength to continue.

Creates a headwind for commodities, multinational companies, emerging countries (i.e. Sri Lanka)

I agree that there is a long term structural commodity bull cycle but commodity prices and equities may be held in check since commodities are mostly priced in USD.
Comments
zAngus
Greetings, good work on your first post. We hope you had fun during the challenge. Hope you get rich :)

From mod @zAngus
GhanaBoyJohn
Are we in store for even more strength in US dollar? JPY breakdown says yes. Euro breakdown confirms it. Euro and Yen make up ~ 70% of DXY basket.
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