ganghun22
Long

EURUSD Swing trade BUY

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
100 0 1
Technical Reason:
In impulse wave, wave 4 low cannot cross wave 1 high. As long as price stays higher than 1.34146 there is a possible scenario of wave 5 continuation. Resistance will be at 1.38 - 1.39 level. Especially 1.39 level meets with down trendline from June 2008. Stochastic is also in oversold zone.

Fundamental Reason:
Last month there were two main reasons why EUR rallied.
1. Positive market expectation on economic recovery of Eurozone countries.
2. Weakness of USD due to Government Shutdown and Delayed Tapering.

Upcoming US data could be negative because of government shutdown, especially decreased GDP growth.
So there is almost 0% of chance that Fed will start tapering in the year 2013. This will limit gains in USD.

There is a downside risk of EUR due to recent weak economic data from Eurozone, and ECB may announce dovish comments in upcoming conference. But I think in a long run investors will pay more attention back to negative US data,
delayed tapering and uncertainty in debt issue which will come back in focus next year.

Conclusion:
EUR/USD             will rise to 1.38-1.39 further gain will be limited testing former high and
downside trendline from june 2008 in monthly chart.
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
SV Svenska
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
AR العربية
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Cryptocurrency Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out