chris.weston

Using the options market to trade the ECB meeting

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
With the ECB meeting in play, we can look at EURUSD overnight implied volatility (currently 13.55%) and use this to understand the degree of movement expected by the market. The daily straddle looks at the extent of movement (higher or lower) with a 68.2% of confidence that price will be contained within this range. The 10-delta strangle looks at strikes which have a 10% chance of being exceeded and therefore portrays an outlier move.

Traders can use this really effectively to manage risk, or as a new approach to intra-day mean reversion. One can add Bollinger bands or pivot points for confluence of levels.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.