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fanes
Jan 23, 2017 12:55 AM

I will try a short...  Short

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

because of the risk reward ratio i will try to short it here... should it not be the case the loss is insignificant compare to the given opportunities,,,
Comments
nightfoxFX
Let it run, without stop loss, technical indicators are showing over bout conditions and for this reason I am also shorting it at 1.073 with another pending order at 1.077. TP 1.062 if you want aprox. one week holding period. My total margin is at 2-3 per cent max of total equity.

Btw, it was only four times in USA history that dollar was not bullish on first week of presidency
fanes
@nightfoxFX, hmm the 2-3 % is a good thing, yet i am afraid that if we break this level and it is not a false break, than we can go much higher even though technical indicators are overbought
nightfoxFX
@fanes, I think the current rally is a bit over extended, very much due to dollar index correction. I also believe that EU fundamentals are not on EUR side. All that can be expected for certain is volatility. Never the less listen to your intuition.

JamalForex
@nightfoxFX,
I have a question about who you would not use a stop loss ? Is it due to the market makers ?
JamalForex
@JamalForex, I took a short @ 1.07275 I am in a lil draw down but expect it to go down shortly
nightfoxFX
@JamalForex, Thank you for the question. Well off-course there is always possibility that market makers make short manipulations and for this reason, trader can get stopped out quickly.

In my case, what I know for sure is that technical indicators are showing overbought conditions especially on daily basis. The second factor that I count in, is that we are in rising wedge formation, and also due to this reason I expect reversal to downside. The only problem that i have is predicting timing for reversal to happen. It can rise to 1.85 and than go down, or it can go down tomorrow. I bought sell position at 1.74 and will at least double another sell position at 1.85-00. Sooner ore later we will be around 1.05-1.06 level. Good money management is essential for this to work.
JamalForex
@nightfoxFX, Now I understand. Ive heard it before to not place a SL due to market manipulation.
I have not tried it myself yet.
May I ask what technical indicators you use ? I noticed on my momentum indicator a strong divergence pattern, thats the reason im expecting it to short.
JamalForex
@JamalForex, Price may indeed come up to 1.085 level like it did on the previous high on december 8th.
nightfoxFX
@JamalForex, Jamal how the trade going? I hope you made proftis
nightfoxFX
@JamalForex, Sure. I use CCI, RSI, STOCH, OBV and MACD.
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