EUR/USD CHART QUICK ANALYSIS IN LONDON SESSION I 01/07

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1. Market Structure & Trend
Main Trend: The market is currently in a consolidation (sideways) phase following a previous sharp decline. Price is compressing inside a Symmetrical Triangle pattern, defined by the two converging trendlines.

Current Price Action: The price is trading around 1.16838, sitting right on the lower support trendline and near the POC (Point of Control) of the Volume Profile.

2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: * The zone between 1.17145 – 1.17204 (the upper blue box). This is the recent local high and aligns with the descending trendline.

Support: * The zone between 1.16774 – 1.16876. This is the immediate "hard" support. If a 1h candle closes decisively below 1.16700, the bearish trend is likely to resume.

3. Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right shows a massive concentration of trades at the current level (1.16800 – 1.16900). This indicates a "tug-of-war" between buyers and sellers. Once the price breaks out of this high-volume node, a volatile move is expected.

Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Bearish Bias): If the price breaks below the triangle’s support and closes under 1.16770, the next target could be 1.16500 or lower.

Scenario 2 (Bullish Rebound): If a strong rejection (long wick) occurs at this support, the price may bounce toward the upper trendline near 1.17100. However, there is significant overhead resistance.

Pro Tip: Since the triangle is squeezing tightly, it is often safer to wait for a confirmed breakout and a retest before entering a position.

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