The euro's rally from the December low appears to be losing steam. Tuesday's high respected a resistance cluster including a 61.8% Fib level, high-volume node and trend resistance. A 2-bar bearish reversal (which includes an engulfing candle) only made a marginal high above Friday's high, and a bearish divergence has formed on the RSI.
With CPI looming, perhaps the market will try to fill some of the liquidity gaps left during the bearish engulfing candle. And with the potential for a hotter-than-expected CPI report (and therefore a stronger dollar / lower euro), the bias is for an eventual retest of the 200-day average ~1.0832. A break beneath which brings 1.0820 and 1.080 into focus for bears.
Trade closed: target reached
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Target more than met, and very swiftly following the latest hotter-than-expected US CPI report.