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Longterm View: LongTerm Swing-Dynamic vs. MidTerm Bearish Flag

FX_IDC:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
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When we have a look at the longterm Chart we see a clear and very wide downchannel . At the beginning of 2015 we have kissed the downtrend channels bottom @ 1,04. From that Level on we started a Rebound nearly till the Minimum correction fibo (38,2) . here is also based the EMA 200 as a resist.
Now the Pair is forming a bearish flag! (blue). This bearish flag will generate a TP at the downside @ below the parity @ 0,965 if it will be triggered.

The cyclical /-or longterm swingview will generate a longterm tp @ the downtrendchannels upper edge @ 1,33! ( Magenta "3"?). On it s way up to that cyclical target several resist zones are based:
-EMA 200: 1,135
-0,38 fibo: 1,18
-0,5 fibo: 1,22
-0,618 fibo: 1,26
-Resistance tone formed of former lows between 1,2-1,25

Last but not least - here is the pullback!
These days we have seen an overshooting market. The Pair seemed to beat it s strong resistance Zone but this Zone between 1,139-1,15 could not be conquered sustainably at the Moment.
The Zone turned again into a big resistance Zone .
Prices below that Level turn the Chart again bearish! A possible target at the downside could be the Grey "3" at 1,125
Only Prices above 1,15 will lighten the Chart and generate the TP @ 1,175

Comments

Hi TS97.. here is one of possibilities..
Good trading!



Reply
Very nice! I dont exspect an upmove to 1.25. If it was a stock i wollt agree, but not at a forex paar :)
Reply
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