glennmercer
Long

Long EURUSD: Huge Gartley Complete at Support + Bat + Butterfly

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
a year ago
EURUSD             has completed a large Gartley pattern on the weekly TF at a very important area of support. The support comes from a trendline dating back to the year 2000 which has been tested three times and has yet to be broken in the past 15 years. This is the second time price has tested the Gartley PRZ, proving it to be a key area of support as well. To add to the bullish bias, two confluent harmonic patterns have emerged on shorter time frames. These 4H harmonic patterns provide an excellent opportunity to enter the larger TF Gartley more precisely.

Possible Stop Loss and Targets:
T1: Unhit pivot for November, 2015 | .618CD (Bat & Butterfly ) | R:R=3
T2: Missed pivot for January, 2015 | .382CD ( Gartley ) | R:R=9
T2: Missed pivot for September, 2014 | .618CD ( Gartley ) | R:R=15
SL: Below bat point X

Confluence in the PRZ:

Weekly Chart:
snapshot

Thank you for your continued support!
a year ago
Trade active: Long EURUSD active at TL support
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Shoot me an email: gmercerfx@gmail.com
jhakas
a year ago
nice long term setup... but i have a question... ECB fundamentals are against Euro and we have US rate hike.. which i think is after 10 or 15 years.. so combining both these elements... do you think long term trendline will remain intact..??
+1 Reply
glennmercer PRO jhakas
a year ago
Anything is possible of course. My very technical outlook is that if a long-term trendline has provided effective S/R in the past, then it's likely to have some significance in the future regardless of fundamentals. SL is placed tightly below the trendline if it is in fact broken. I also like to close my positions before any major news events, like rate announcement in December for instance.
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glennmercer PRO jhakas
a year ago
Great comment by the way
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SyedMunib
a year ago
jhakas good idea good comment
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ccake28
a year ago
Hi. for the stop loss, how many pips do you usually put below bat point X? in this case, is the stop loss 1.0425?
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glennmercer PRO ccake28
a year ago
SL placement is left completely to the trader's discretion and their style of trading. If there is a significant amount of S/R around X, I will use a tighter stop like in this case. Personally, I place my SL about 5-10% of the distance of the CD leg below point X when trading a bat pattern. So for this case, the distance of the CD leg is about 900 pips. 5% of 900 is 45. So my SL is about 45 pips below point X. Hope that helps.
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ccake28 glennmercer
a year ago
Thank you
+1 Reply
CajunXChange
a year ago
snapshot

different pattern but we are on the same page:)
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glennmercer PRO CajunXChange
a year ago
Yes sir and good luck to you
+1 Reply
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