Buy above 1.0853. Stop loss at 1.0787. Take profit at 1.0948.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has started to bounce off our buying area perfectly. The plan today is to remain bullish above 1.0853 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support) for a push up to 1.0948 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support above 2% where we expect a bounce from.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they usually move in opposite directions. We’re expecting a drop in USDCHF which goes in line with the rise we expect on EURUSD.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. Advance Retail Sales which is a monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. We’re expecting a positive value here meaning more consumer spending and confidence, leading to strength in the USD. This would go against our bullish EURUSD view today hence is it best to exercise caution on this trade.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has started to bounce off our buying area perfectly. The plan today is to remain bullish above 1.0853 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support) for a push up to 1.0948 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support above 2% where we expect a bounce from.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they usually move in opposite directions. We’re expecting a drop in USDCHF which goes in line with the rise we expect on EURUSD.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. Advance Retail Sales which is a monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. We’re expecting a positive value here meaning more consumer spending and confidence, leading to strength in the USD. This would go against our bullish EURUSD view today hence is it best to exercise caution on this trade.