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Amr-Sadek
Mar 26, 2024 4:23 PM

EURUSD 26 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable Goods 

Euro / U.S. DollarFOREX.com

Description

This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

  1. 4H
  2. 15m


4H Chart Analysis



1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • INT Bullish / Continuation Phase
  • Swing Pullback Phase



2.

  • After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
  • As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
  • Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.



3.

  • 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
  • After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
  • Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.



4.

  • As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback.
  • Price created a Bullish CHoCH at the INT Structure Extreme which is a sign that the deep pullback may ended and we could be in the Bullish move to target the Weak INT High.
  • More bullish price development on LTF is required to confirm the current expectations of continuation bullish.




15m Chart Analysis



1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • Internal Bearish
  • Swing Continuation Phase


2.

  • After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
  • After mitigating the 15m/4H Demand zones, INT Structure turned Bullish confirming the Swing Low and the Swing Pullback Phase started.
  • Expectations is set to for price to continue bullish till the Swing EQ/Premium to facilitate the Swing Pullback Phase.


3.

  • Price reached the 4H Supply and initiated the INT Structure Pullback which was also a HP supply zone for Shorts to continue the Swing Bearish Move.
  • INT Structure turned bearish aligning with the Bearish Swing for bearish continuation.
  • Expectation is set to continue bearish to target the Weak Swing Low. But be mindful that the 4H still bullish and we are in the 4H INT Structure Discount/Extreme and maybe we will stay bullish. Bullish iBOS will confirm the bullish scenario.
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