Akil_Stokes

EURUSD 1 Hour: 3 Advanced Patterns Setting Up/ Ideas for a Video

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
a year ago
Coming off a massive week in the Syndicate it’s somewhat refreshing to have only taken a single trade this week. Well two if you count the AUDUSD             Bull bat that just filled a few hours ago (60min). Either way a slow week often means that there are a lot of potential patterns going through there setup legs and the EURUSD             is a prime example.

Three potential patterns on this pair, on this time frame. A potential Bullish Gartley , a Bearish Gartley , and a Bearish Cypher . Not much on the news front until tomorrows ECB Press Conference and our normal Thursday Unemployment Claims, so we’ll see how things pan out.

Also, as many of you know I put out a weekly trading video on my youtube page every Thursday. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCVveEks3MWZqOsvzTF_LGQg?sub_confirmation=1

Well this week I’m a little short on ideas, so if you have something that you’d like to be discussed do me a favor and leave your comment under this video and I’ll go through them before tomorrow’s recording starts. Good luck in the markets traders and remember…

PLAN YOUR TRADE, & TRADE YOUR PLAN

Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at Trade Empowered
Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
http://tradeempowered.com/learn-to-trade/
a year ago
Trade closed: stop reached: Boom!
Akil Stokes -Head FOREX Trading Coach at Trade Empowered
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"Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan"




yonswac
a year ago
Nice setup, looking forward for the bullish Gartley.
+2 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP yonswac
a year ago
Nice!
+1 Reply
forexhunter
a year ago
Thanks for sharing great setup
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Gustavomoss
a year ago
could you in theory get all of these three patterns completed?
+1 Reply
Gustavomoss Gustavomoss
a year ago
ive just realised the answers no because on the gartleys one would end up invalidating the other ones legs.
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Gustavomoss
a year ago
If the Orange Gartley forms it would not invalidate the Blue Gartley's "C" leg
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Sukhbir_Sandhu Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Hi Akil, Why would it invalidate the C of the blue gartley. Even if the orange forms, the C of Blue will be still above its A ?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Sukhbir_Sandhu
a year ago
I said that it wouldn't invalidate the gartley if completed. The Green Gartley (which I called blue) would still be valid as long as A isn't broken
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Sukhbir_Sandhu Akil_Stokes
a year ago
oh Sorry, I read it wrong :p
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Sukhbir_Sandhu
a year ago
No problem
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Akil_Stokes TOP Gustavomoss
a year ago
Yes you could, if the bullish gartley forms first, it would still be the "C" leg of the other patterns, now after that we would have to see the bearish gartley complete but only give us a shallow rollover (say to tgt 1) before extending up and completing the Cypher. So yeah it's possible
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Here is a potential opportunity right now... I'm not adding too much comment here, is not needed I guess :)
snapshot
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Koryphaeen PRO Koryphaeen
a year ago
And it comes right after a Bat I closed recently in profit...I'm already in to this trade
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Nice, I've got it as a bat pattern on my data so I'll be looking for a slightly higher entry point, but I like the short
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Target 1 already hit with the Gartley. I think that if you waited for the Bat you weren't got filled, do you? That's why trading is so interesting, there are many point of views, which by the way are, from technical view, correct, but only one will function, or none in extreme cases :)
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+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
No did not get filled, came close but didn't rally high enough for my orders to be hit
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langtoni PRO Koryphaeen
a year ago
I traded this set up to, is this not more of Bat pattern than Gartley?
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Target 2 hit, I closed this trade. A perfect Gartley setup with no pain :)
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Well done!!! "Cha-Ching!"
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Akil, another one on this pair. 3rd pattern in a row on this one, 2 already in profit, let's see how this Gartley will behave... :)
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
I like it, again I have it as a bat pattern, but looking for the long opportunity. This time you need to let me get involved before running away with all of the profits :-)
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
You are my guest Akil, I'm not so greedy to take all that profit by myself alone.. :) there are several other factors that suggests that this will work, Elliott wave counting is matching this setup as well, completion point is a juncture of fib and trend line confluences, perfect AB=CD completes this Gartley. But, how do you got the Bat pattern in this, can you post it?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
I need a 61.8 retracement for the B leg to consider it a gartley and this one comes up just short. Looks like I'm filled though so feel free to push us up ;-)
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
If you traded it as a Bat, you are now having a huge advantage in R/R ratio, so in this case I am the one who must help you with that bag of profit to carry... :) congrats!
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Filled on this trade. Did you take it as well? If yes, good luck man! I will help you bear that sack of profit... :)
+2 Reply
FrancescoPoderi Koryphaeen
a year ago
JUST GOT FILLED ON EUR/JPY @134.22 AT BULLISH BAT COMPL.
+2 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
Good luck to you too! let's see how will this evolve. I see a very good chance for a corrective move after this huge drop from today, so we have good chance for a profit. But take care, this in my opinion is not a Bat but a Gartley. (completion usually at 0.786 for a perfect Gartley and 0.886 for a Bat)
+1 Reply
FrancescoPoderi Koryphaeen
a year ago
AB DIDNT HIT 61.8 RETR. LOOKS TO MY A BAT
61.8 HAS BEEN MISSED FOR JUST 0.00017, TECHNICALLY IS A BAT, NO?
+1 Reply
FrancescoPoderi FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
BTW WE ARE IN OVERSOLD CONDITION ON THE 4H CHART
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
According to my rules, a Bat completes AB between 38.6 (close above) and 50.0 (close below). A Gartley completes between 50.0 (close above) and 68.0 (close below). These are only my rules, but they made me a profit today with that previous Gartley, which was interpreted by many, Akil too, as a Bat. But it behaved as a Gartley in the final...
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Koryphaeen PRO Koryphaeen
a year ago
I backtested these rules, that's how I came to this conclusion... ;)
+2 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Nice love to hear traders say they actually backtested something instead of just reading about it and having blind faith
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
But if you interpreted this setup as a Bat, how come you got filled at 134.22, because it is 78.6 and not 88.6 ?
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
waiting for the Bat completion would waste a chance to get filled into this trade, because of that trendline support that is lurkin' in the dark. :) I drew it in to see, I think PA will not break that support and close below it... but, we never know... it's called trading :)
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FrancescoPoderi Koryphaeen
a year ago
TOTALLY ACCEPT MY MISTAKE ON THIS, BACK TESTING ALWAYS HELP TO CLARIFY THINGS, LOOKS LIKE U DID GET IT SPOT ON, SO I GOT FILLED, LET S TAKE SOME PROFIT
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
Yes, let's bank in some profit, good luck!
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
There's no mistake in trading, unless you do not respect your rules set... ;)
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
Another one I'm involved now, there is a better entry right now when trendline resistance is tested:
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Are you looking at that as a Cypher? And if so was your 1.272 hit for C?
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Yes, I'm looking at it as a Cypher. But the main reason I took this trade, despite PA not having reached the 1.272, is that this pair is trading in a sideways channel, PA reaching the trendline resistance area and my bet is that it will have a huge downside movement in the near future. That's why I am not respecting the 38.2 and 61.8 price targets in this case, but involved myself for longer term, expecting larger drop than these preset targets.
+2 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Okay, I was just going to mention about lack of hitting the 1.272 incase you missed it but you're aware of it already
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
And another one I will take soon... Akil, I hope you don't mind that I am spamming you with all these good and profitable trade ideas... :)))
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Share away my friend, I've seen no negativity in your post so it's all good for the better of this community
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
You will not see any negativity in my posts in the future neither.. negativity presumes thoughtless emotions and in this business emotions are not welcome :))) I'm here to help others as much as to learn something from others, and that in a thoughtful and humble way. :)
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Great to hear
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Yup i'm in!
+1 Reply
Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
As a Bat? Good luck! ;)
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Yes as a bullish Bat
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Koryphaeen PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Not without pain and sweating, this trade...
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Akil_Stokes TOP Koryphaeen
a year ago
Yup I'm in
+1 Reply
chkirianouar Akil_Stokes
a year ago
that's what Isee /
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP chkirianouar
a year ago
What pattern this that?
+2 Reply
chkirianouar Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Sorry , way bad ! Gartley Pattern .
snapshot
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chkirianouar Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Do you think the pattern will be completed ?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP chkirianouar
a year ago
Honestly i have no clue. The market tends to do whatever it wants whenever it wants to do it. All we can do is be prepared to take advantages of the moves that meet our trading plan.
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FrancescoPoderi Koryphaeen
a year ago
Did spot EUR/JPY as well
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Koryphaeen PRO FrancescoPoderi
a year ago
Did you take this trade as a Gartley pattern or did you waited for the Bat completion? If you took it, congrats, you are in profit now. :)
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yeehuei PRO
a year ago
Has the dark blue bearish Gartley become invalidated in this case?
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Akil_Stokes TOP yeehuei
a year ago
What rules do you follow for the "C" leg of a gartley. What must it do and what can it not do?
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yeehuei PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
My rule is when the "C" got violated (in this case, it's violated), then gartley pattern is consider invalidated.
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP yeehuei
a year ago
And what would invalidate the "C" leg of a gartley pattern?
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rozela99
a year ago
Nice I had the Bearish Cypher on my radra as of last night. After looking at your post I noticed I didnt drag fibs to get correct D point. I sure miss the live room can't wait to return.
Thanks
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP rozela99
a year ago
Good eye, and better to catch it late than never.
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berniet PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Some ideas on trading sessions... I find the European session is quite good to me.... as it is early afternoon here it seems I get a head start on some of the patterns you mention.
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP berniet
a year ago
Yes the London session is probably the best session to be trading in. lots of movement
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SmartTradingFX
a year ago
Love this! I'm finally out of that GBPUSD Short, moved my TP up to the previous lows and rolled my stops to breakeven as it doesnt have a clue what it wants to do and i wanted to protect a loss after holding it for 6 days!
+1 Reply
SmartTradingFX SmartTradingFX
a year ago
+35
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP SmartTradingFX
a year ago
Great discipline!
+1 Reply
SmartTradingFX Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Thanks Akil
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kazwin9
a year ago
watching the same pair for the long time. Looking at the Bearish Cyper, IF the markets decides to be kind, it will complete a bigger BAT at structure at the C leg. Not definite, only looking for opportunities for find an edge
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP kazwin9
a year ago
Edge and opportunties. that's a great combo
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kazwin9
a year ago
Heres the chart. couldn't figure out how to post it here.
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Hey Akil!
Have you exit the trade of the previous bat patern?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP dark.hkm.wish666
a year ago
I still have a partial position on for my personal account. but we're all flat in the Syndicate
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HKM666 Akil_Stokes
a year ago
I´m in demo account and waiting for it to hit 2nd target, which would invalidate the Cypher,.
Looking at the PA, my prediction is that, IF the Gartley X@1.1305 completes , we could collect profits in the outside return and then market would roll down to hit the Bat 2nd target!
I believe it would roll down because i see 6 points of structure looking left.
Do you agree with this analysis?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP HKM666
a year ago
I try not to make any predictions that far in advanced, mainly because we just never know. Overall I'm still bullish in my view of this pair due to the recent break of structure
+1 Reply
HKM666 Akil_Stokes
a year ago
You´re right as always! Maybe it´s only my subcinscious trying to force my trade instead of trading what i see!
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP HKM666
a year ago
Don't be so quick to doubt yourself just because I don't agree
+1 Reply
HKM666 Akil_Stokes
a year ago
I believe that doubt makes us improve and try harder. For every prediction i make there is always a chance of being wrong. In this particular case i´m glad that i was able to see all 4 patterns, the bat compleition and the other possible 3!
What i would like to see is the compleition of the smaller Gartley, hit that 38.2 retrc. (only 1 target) and then roll down to hit the 2nd target of the Bat!
That would imply the invalidation of the other two of course.
As you know, i´m not an emotional type of trader or person, but hey.... i´m human too!
Thank you for the support!!
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Could you speak about consistency, i started my trading year this year in late April, and in the middle of August i was up around 60% (with no money management) Just 1 lot. But then i had a month of about break even but now its just looser after looser. I´m down 12% and its really starting to affect me. before i had strings and strings of winners and a few loosers here and there now its just the last 2 weeks its been 13 loosers and 2 winners.. Its really starting to get to me mentally! Hope you could speak some about that! I follow my back tested plan like a baby seal will die if i break one of my rules and i don´t but still this sudden downfall is very hard to cope with mentally! Kind Regards i´m a student of yours and i love your work you are the best, i learned to trade from your course after trying aboute every other out there.
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP ThomasJeff_DCM
a year ago
Sure thing thomas
+3 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP ThomasJeff_DCM
a year ago
Your down 12% total or 12% after being up the 60?
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ThomasJeff_DCM PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
well after 5 months of trading i was up 62% i started trading late this year due to a spine surgery, then this past month i had some days i could not trade and a week in the hospital and after i came back i just got loser after looser so now i´m down 13,5% as of today, had 12 loosers and 3 winners since the 1th of this month.. like suddenly everything stopped working. As you know i trade only Bats and Cyphers on a 10 pair portfolio that is backtested. But its really getting to me waiting up to a looser or two every day now every day =( Thanks for writing me back it means a lot to me! I follow my plan to the point but no change.. Only thing i did not fund my account with my full amount yet so i did not start using the money management system you tought me yet, so i just traded 1 standard lot on every trade with no compounding.
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Akil_Stokes TOP ThomasJeff_DCM
a year ago
Do me a favor and shoot me an email Thomas, I'm out of energy right now after recording the Weekend Review, so if you shoot me an email I can give you a "non brain dead" response over the weekend or early next week once I'm back in town. Even if you just copy and paste the above message.
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ThomasJeff_DCM PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Thank you soo much it means a lot to me! i hope you get better! i´ll write you later today.

Kind Regards
+1 Reply
ThomasJeff_DCM PRO ThomasJeff_DCM
a year ago
i´m so sorry Akil i just realize i only got Jason and Daryl´s email, can you write yours im PM maybe? I can´t thank you enough!

Kind regards
Thoms Jeff
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IanMFX ThomasJeff_DCM
a year ago
Going back to basic might have to be considered. The market sometimes doesn't seems to follow what it has done in the past. Specially when market speculation goes one way and would simply invalidate what the market usually does.
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yeehuei PRO
a year ago
Akil .. can you talk about different ways set stop loss in your video? I keen to know how you use ATR to set SL...
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP yeehuei
a year ago
I'll add it to the list of things I'm considering. thanks for the comment
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antonyde
a year ago
Akil, if you could, mention about day trading in stocks on 5 min time frame.What we need to notice, any cons that may be occured (e.g. lack of past results as structures) and whatsoever you think it could help on this type of trading.
I would appreciate!
+2 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP antonyde
a year ago
I would love to but day trading stocks is completely different than day trading currencies and I'm probably not the best person to teach about that subject. Same principles apply, but in the stock market there's a lot more involved in narrowing down which stocks you're paying attention to since in order to day trade you have to find a stock with enough recent movement to make it worth your while. Sorry, I just don't feel right talking about it in video form when i'm not 100% confident about it. I hope you understand
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antonyde Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Quite understood! Too honest! Thank you
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP antonyde
a year ago
Thanks, again the principles are the same as far as the technicals go you'd just have to be sure to identify a stock that has movement
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antonyde Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Of course I pick up only stocks with movement. The only thing that worries me is that I can't rely on structure,every day is a new day new S/R, so I take into consideration every technicals except structure.I hear you say "no entry to trade unless includes structure" so every time I got CTS -2 (as structure counts 2).Thanks
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Davis
a year ago
Akil, Isnt cypher invalid because C leg closed below 1.414 extention?
+1 Reply
rozela99 Davis
a year ago
Does it?
+1 Reply
rozela99 rozela99
a year ago
snapshot
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Akil_Stokes TOP Davis
a year ago
Yes I cypher is invalid if the "C" closes below the 1.414 however in this case (at least with my data) that does not occur/
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Davis Akil_Stokes
a year ago
hmm alright...
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Akil_Stokes TOP Davis
a year ago
As I like to say "trade what you see" so if you have it closing below the 1.141 then you are correct to consider it invalid and should not be looking to get involved
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Davis Akil_Stokes
a year ago
oki doki Akil! Thank you for answering!
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP Davis
a year ago
No problem, interesting because on tradingview we should all have the same data.
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Davis Akil_Stokes
a year ago
exactly my thoughts
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Afeef.s
a year ago
Waiting for order to get filled
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petter
a year ago
Why don't you use IDC? IDC is quality data taken from many more data providers than FXCM. The FXCM prices are also only "indicative" prices (not what you would actually recieve, which are called "dealable" prices.
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP petter
a year ago
Hey Petter, I can't speak for anybody else, but I have an FXCM data feed for one of my personal accounts so when looking at charts on tradingview it doesn't do me any justice to come back to my regular charting package and see that things are different.
+1 Reply
RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
I just saw you got fille on EU in the Syndicate Akil, is that the Bullish Gartley?
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP RonnyK
a year ago
Correct
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RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Yeah i though so, i just needed to be shure so i could set my stops and targets ;) Thanx!
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Akil_Stokes TOP RonnyK
a year ago
So I I would have said that I entered for a different reason would you have still been involved in the trade or did you only take it because I did?
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Akil_Stokes TOP RonnyK
a year ago
I say that because I hope you're not blindly following the ideas that we post if they're not in your trading plan. Also, if you're just entering now, just know that the pattern is technically invalid due to the break of X
+1 Reply
RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
I usually use The syndicate tradefloor, to observe the trades you enter that i maybe would have missed, i am in the process of learning through the advanced pattern course, so when i see you or jason post, i try to draw it with fibo the same way to learn, but on this one i couldnt find in the syndicate. so i didnt enter this one. just observing at the moment.
+2 Reply
RonnyK RonnyK
a year ago
just to trade the eyes as Jason say`s :)
+1 Reply
RonnyK RonnyK
a year ago
*Train
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Akil_Stokes TOP RonnyK
a year ago
Perfect, sorry for being hard on you, but you wouldn't imagine how many people use the Syndicate to just blindly follow our ideas. So i try as hard as I can to discourage that type of action because it doesn't help with trading. Glad that you're using it the right way!!
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forexjunkie33 Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Well said Akil, that is the best way to go broke is by blindly following other peoples ideas.
+2 Reply
RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
No worries! you and Jason are good teachers! been following you guys for about a year now.
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IanMFX RonnyK
a year ago
Way to go RonnyK. I try doing the same but I can only check 30 minutes in the morning and then leave for work. Then at night for 1-2 hours. I want to invest my time as much as possible to trading as I love it but time is the difficult vehicle I can drive trading with. I know, many are like me. At least I invest time into learning and still reviewing Jason's Pro trader course.
+1 Reply
RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
But a question: So in other words if market / the candle closes beneath X leg its not a valid pattern anymore right? Just looking for confirmation
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP RonnyK
a year ago
Technically if it breaks X, although the break below, close below is a much more important sign
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RonnyK Akil_Stokes
a year ago
that makes sense, thanx
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berniet PRO Akil_Stokes
a year ago
If you take X as a support and with 1.1300 round number it can be a reasonable long with a tight stop... at least I though so :)
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berniet PRO berniet
a year ago
Stops below the 1.618 expansion of the A B leg and 1.1300
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chkirianouar
a year ago
why it went that much short ? now I'm in a long position shod I keep going ???
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP chkirianouar
a year ago
Fundamentals, we had an ECB Press Conference & Unemployement this morning. mainly ECB though
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dark.hkm.wish666 Akil_Stokes
a year ago
And because we already hada trades placed we couldn't do nothing but wait it goes our way like gladly it went!!
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Draghi has messed up a very nice position!! Jeez!! I don't like Draghi!! LOL
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Akil_Stokes TOP Captain_Walker
a year ago
Yeah he did, however he did help the bigger one from last week so all in all I can't be mad at him...this time!
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ghenggiap
a year ago
Hello Aki, could you please advise which position that need to be entry for bullish pattern for next week as we know that EUR/USD is still swinging lower and lower? I believe drag has a plan to get a BIG picture behind this! thank you in advanced
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP ghenggiap
a year ago
The Bullish Gartley on the chart I shared was broken and invalidated after the ECB press conference so it's not longer in play
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ghenggiap Akil_Stokes
a year ago
thanks akil
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ghenggiap Akil_Stokes
a year ago
Looking forward for your next picture for next week then... thank you and happy pips for next week!
+1 Reply
Akil_Stokes TOP ghenggiap
a year ago
Thanks, just a heads up I don't post to this site all that often so don't be shocked if you don't see anything from me next to. I would like to get back to posting daily it's just not a priority at the time. I just don't want you waiting around
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ghenggiap Akil_Stokes
a year ago
no worries Master! Keep up the good work
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ghenggiap Akil_Stokes
a year ago
I am still learning how to make the price action as you uploaded a demo for the pair USD/JPY in the video. The price action should always in TF1H and this applicable for all pairs currency, is that correct? Now, I have difficulty for the pairs AUDJPY - could you please show me again how to do for the pair AUD/JPY. Thanks Master
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ghenggiap ghenggiap
a year ago
I've got it.Please disregards my query. Thanks
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marcus123
a year ago
Great work Akil!
Reply
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