So we are gradually getting round to what is an important component in the process of formation in the currency. Like a trojan horse, Eurobonds are being pushed in from the mounting political and geopolitical pressure. The initial 500bn EUR will still require approval from the block, and may not be a huge sum considering a historic crash, however it is an incremental step in a positive direction. It is not really about the effectiveness of the implementation, and this is decided from completely different factors and distribution is not that clear.
The isolated highs in USD which we have been tracking illustrates the future direction for the greenback:
After the latest news I am switch sides in the short-term view, rather starting to track the breakout to the topside. A move through 1.10xx highs will unlock the topside and put scaffolding around the short-term view. The MT and LT outlook could see us grind all the way back towards 1.20xx in a relatively short period of time.
I am certain that in a few years, nobody will consider surrendering their euros for dollars. The disappearance of dollar dominance will open the way for a new and brilliant development of Europe and - the east. Let me say a few more words about the birth of the view; it is closely linked to the collapse of Globalisation...
Vaccine optimism is flooding the wires, the dedication of politicians to sell the re-openings is very telling of the extent of damage that has been done. All rainbows and empty promises from the consultations I've had with experts in the field. The following chart shows how devastating the economic damage has been on the US labour market, Equities rallying all the way back in such a short period of time in a V shaped bounce is not an accurate reflection of reality: