ForexDreams
Long

EURUSD - LONG ENTRY

FX:EURUSD   Euro/U.S. Dollar
1835 10 17
Entry: 1.1448
TP: 150
SL: 50
R:R 3

Trade closed manually: Change of plan, this looks like a reversal.

Exiting this trade
Comment: Trade closed: - 6 pips
Comment: The reason why I have exited this trade this morning is I have been a little concerned that 10 pips above the red line (previous high) was too close to market.

Do I believe price could take off north, yes, but equally it be pulled back into the range before heading north again.

Alternatively, as I said previously this pattern does have some similarities to a reversal, so heading south is still on the table.

Jobless Claims news report is out at 13:30 UTC+1. I expect this week's sideways action is due in part to that. We may have resolution at that time, one way or another.

For the moment, I'm happy to take the 6 pips loss and wait on the side lines for a clear direction, if that means I only get 70 pips instead of 100 later, I think I can live with that.
Comment:  
Comment:
THX for your excelent analysis - this is my view
The Pair is trading in a big trading box since the beginning of 2015. The box is reaching from 1.05-1.1475.
The rapprochemenrt to the box`s upper edge increases the risk of falling Prices. Perhaps this Level could be a good Chance for Shorts. The Chance/Risk-Ratio is very nice at that Level (have a look at the short Position in the Chart).
The pure trend theory makes a new maximal shortterm High at 1.1615 possible. Should this Level, respective 1.1475 not be defeated, a new downwave to 1.11/1.07/1.05 can be exspected. Below the box`s bottom edge a fast selloff can be exspected.
In the longterm view, i see a clear bearish pattern - a bearish flag with worst case TP @ 0.8 - This Szenario will only be activ with Prices below 1.05!

For Longs, i also see an anticyclical Long-Chance. For further informations have a look at the following chart

Reply
Nice pick as always walker.england!! LOL
+1 Reply
kallentto RamaDeda
I would pick Anil everyday eyes closed ...
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your stop got hit lol
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Neither did his entry?
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Nice idea with the breakout! Would like to see a rally and close above 1.1450 for a Euro bull rotation :)
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Congratulations! Your chart has been selected to be highlighted as the post of the day. This is a great example of a bullish breakout on a move to a new high.
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ForexDreams walker.england
Thanks!
Reply
nice.. and yes!
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