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exlux99
Nov 14, 2022 9:18 AM

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022  

Euro Fx/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast 14-18 November 2022

Currently the implied volatility for this asset is around 1.65%, up from 1.61% of last week.
From volatility percentile, point of view, we are currently on 35th from ATR and 38th from EVZ index.

With this volatility percentile values into account we can expected on average that the weekly candle is going to be:
1.23% for bullish
0.967% for bearish

With the current IV, we can expect with a 78.3% probability that the market is not going to close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 1.05
BOT: 1.017

Lastly, based on previous calculations, we have:
71% to hit the previous weekly high of 1.036
28% to hit the previous weekly low of 0.99

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