EURUSD long-term bullish scenario

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
One of the many possibilities in EURUSD . Of course currently it doesn't look very probable but if we should see a move back above 1.30 then most likely this scenario will suddenly start looking more and more possible.

Whatever the case will be, I'd like to see a move below 1.1875 to take out that last low without reaching the 61.8 retracement level.