Mexican Stocks -17% In 6 Months, But Are Showing Signs Of Life

The iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF has sustained its longest move above the 50-day EMA since September (prior to breakdown). If EWW is able to close above the 2015 resistance level at $60.50, look for a continuation to the $63-$65 area in the next 1-3 months. An initial stop loss on a stock position can be placed under $58. Option traders can consider buying the Apr 20 $60 calls or $60/$63 bull call spreads upon that confirmed breakout.

Top ten holdings in the ETF (62.85% of assets): America Movil, Grupo Televisa, Fomento Economico, Grupo Financiero Banorte, Cemex, Wal-Mart de Mexico, Grupo Mexico, Fibra Uno Admin., Grupo Financiero Inbursa, and Alfa

The Mexican economy has had to deal with plunging oil and peso prices in the previous months. Tepid results from Wal-Mart de Mexico and Coca-Cola FEMSA have reflected this too. While the economy has been growing in a roughly 2.5% range (in terms of GDP), economists are more positive for 2015. The collectively group see GDP at +3.2% for the year and Mexico's Ministry of Finance looks for 3.2%-4.2% growth.
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