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Chimbarosa
Sep 2, 2018 8:19 AM

EXY: Shaky & potential H&S pattern... Short

Euro Currency IndexTVC

Description

...as I have already written in a couple of other trades. The EUR pretends to be strong, but many problems are not solved and won´t be solved within the next months (Turkey (Why Turkey? Who do you think bought all the Turkish bonds: European Banks), Italy… etc.). ECB will likely not change the current course (QE, interest…).

First Signals are turning on: EMA50 is ready to move below EMA200 (bulls are currently trying to avoid it but they failed last week, they might try it again in the forthcoming weeks). We have a stable downward trend since mid of 2017. A break-out which lasted only 6 months and which provided us this wonderful H&S pattern.

Bulls&Bears will fight within the next 1-3 weeks providing us with a lot of trading opportunities especially for strong majors.

This is not an investment advise this is just my personal opinion.

Ride safe guys.




Comment

It seems that EUR euphoria is calming down :) Italy won´t be able to decrease it´s budget deficit (I mean we are at the end of a super cycle and Italy is still increasing it´s state debt). So what´s next? Yeah your are right! Ride safe guys…

Comment

Okay... what is next. Some people speculate that on the next ECB session the ECB will announce an interest increase or a further thithening of the QE. Last may happen but the first point, hm... we will see. Not sure if we are really done yet

Comment

Bottom reached. Let´s see if we gonna break the Bottom when Brussels comments on the Italian budget.
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