DAX Which Channel will prevail?

DAX is ahead of critical crossroads as the long-term Channel Up (blue) that was formed after the November 2020 U.S. elections is on its last leg (d) before the aggressive rally that last time (March-April) led to leg (e).

If this pattern is not repeated, then there is a new Channel Up (orange) that may continue this uptrend but in a more controlled, less aggressive manner. I believe that the signal for this will be a closing below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).

Which Channel Up do you think will prevail?

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