FinVolution Group
Long

FinVolution (FINV)- Massive Selloff, Massive Opportunity?

117
⚡ Market Context
FinVolution ( FINV) just went through one of its strongest selloffs in years.
After the recent earnings release, the stock dropped about 12 percent in one session and roughly 60 percent over the last six months.

What is surprising is that the earnings report itself was not bad. Revenue remains stable, the company is still profitable, and cash flows continue to look healthy. Fundamentally the decline looks excessive relative to the numbers. It is possible that the market is pricing in China specific risks that we cannot clearly see, but the size of the move still appears disconnected from the financial results.

📉 Technical Structure
From a structural point of view, FINV has now returned to one of the largest accumulation clusters on the entire chart.
This support zone stretches from 3.5 to 7, and the price is already trading near the upper boundary of this block.

The recent collapse fits well into a corrective pattern inside the larger wave structure. The current price action is likely completing the final part of the decline. The global bullish structure is still intact.

Key levels:
  • Major accumulation zone: 3.5 to 7
  • Current price: around 4.7
  • Wave invalidation level: 2.68
    (Only a break below 2.68 cancels the entire long term structure.)


Until the price breaks below 2.68, the wave count remains valid and the bullish scenario stays active.

🔍 My Position and Strategy
My stop loss was hit during the drop, so I am currently out of the market.
Right now I am waiting for a clear confirmation signal before reentering.

My plan:
snapshot
  1. Price must break out of the current downward channel.
  2. After the breakout, I need to see a clean retest from above.
  3. That retest becomes the entry trigger, with a tight stop.


If the price moves lower before the breakout, that is acceptable inside the current wave structure.
The most important part is the confirmation and the retest.

📊 Bigger Picture
Even though the decline looks brutal, the long term structure remains bullish.
We are inside the largest multi year accumulation zone, and the broader formation still points to a potential long term upside once the correction completes.

The next big move can start only after the structure confirms the reversal. Until then, patience is the strategy.

✅ Summary
snapshot
  • Earnings were acceptable, but the market reaction was extremely negative.
  • Price is now inside a huge accumulation cluster between 3.5 and 7.
  • Wave structure remains valid unless 2.68 breaks.
  • I am currently out and waiting for a breakout and retest signal.
  • Long term bias remains bullish.


💬 What do you think?
Is this a deep accumulation opportunity, or is the market pricing in hidden risks?
Share your thoughts below and drop your tickers for the next analysis.

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